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Friday, 30 September 16
OPEC CUT SUPPORTS SLOW OIL RECOVERY, NOT STRONG REBOUND - FITCH
 OPEC's oil production target announced this week signals the potential for greater co-ordination among its members, but the target itself is largely symbolic, Fitch Ratings says. The announcement supports our view that oil prices will continue their recovery, but does not make a strong rebound materially more likely.
OPEC members agreed a production target of 32.5m-33.0m b/d at a meeting in Algiers on Wednesday "to accelerate the ongoing drawdown of the stock overhang and bring... rebalancing forward." A high-level committee will recommend member country production levels and there will be "serious and constructive dialogue" with non-member producers on how to stabilize the oil market. OPEC will consider the outcomes at its 30 November meeting in Vienna.
The target implies a production cut of between 240,000 b/d and 740,000 b/d from August levels. This would be the first agreed cut since 2008, and it indicates a slightly greater propensity to co-operate between OPEC's members to support prices.
This reduces downside risk to oil prices and reinforces our expectation that the stabilisation and recovery since the beginning of the year will continue. This is reflected in our forecasts for average prices for Brent and WTI of USD45/b in 2017 and USD55/b in 2018.
Our view incorporates a market that will on average be broadly balanced next year. This reflects demand improvement combined with modest production curtailments outside OPEC, principally in the US (the US Energy Information Administration this month forecast US crude oil production will drop to 8.8m b/d in 2016 from 9.4m b/d in 2015). While the OPEC cut, if agreed, makes a modest deficit more likely next year, this will not be enough to normalise OECD stock levels, which OPEC estimates at 341 million barrels above their five-year average.
More detailed discussions over the next two months will test the willingness of OPEC members to co-operate to reduce production. The envisaged reduction may well be achieved via seasonal falls in production (for example, in the Gulf where changes in domestic consumption patterns traditionally cause a substantial drop in production between August and November).
OPEC's announcement pushed oil prices higher, but they have since retraced some of their gains, and are below the year-to-date peak seen in early summer. Weaker-than-anticipated demand so far in 2016 may limit price increases. The International Energy Agency reduced its forecast for global demand growth by 0.1m b/d earlier in September, and said that momentum would ease further in 2017 "as underlying macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain."
Fitch's long-term expectations for both Brent and WTI of USD65/b reflect our view on the long-run marginal cost of supply. The oil price fall seen since 2014 has been a key driver of sovereign rating changes this year, although the recovery has eased broader macro pressures across emerging markets. Prices of USD40/b-USD50/b allow the majority of Fitch-rated corporate oil producers to cover their cash production costs, and a portion of their sunk costs, but remain below full-cycle costs for most producers.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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Showing 46 to 50 news of total 6871 |
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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