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Tuesday, 05 July 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY NOT SEEN UNTIL 2018 - SGX
 SGX freight derivative volumes totaled 36,542 contracts in June (-28% m/m; +52% y/y), while open interest averaged 121,189 contracts during the month (-1% m/m; +222% y/y).
The Baltic Dry Index ended June up 8%, driven by stronger chartering activity for larger vessel classes towards month-end. Forward curves imply near-term upside to Cape rates, though a relatively muted outlook for other vessel classes.
Stronger iron ore shipments and optimism over Chinese coal output restrictions, in turn spurring higher import demand, have provided some near-term support. Sustainability is in question though. Our latest industry survey suggests caution clearly persists, with surveyed participants becoming moderately more bearish on the timeline of dry bulk freight supply-demand rebalancing over the past six months.
SGX Freight Derivatives
Freight volumes in June totaled 36,542 contracts (-28% m/m; +52% y/y), while open interest averaged 121,189 contracts (-1% m/m; +222% y/y). Futures comprised 98% of total swaps/futures volume during the period.
BDI creeps higher in June; volatility muted
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ended the month up 8% in June, with relative stability across the board before rates rose into month-end on stronger chartering activity. Capesize rates closed June 17% higher, while Panamax rates rose 15%. Among smaller vessels, Supramax and Handysize rates ended the month up 7% and down 3%, respectively. In the Capesize market in particular, volatility dropped to uncharacteristically low levels.
Forward expectations rose across the board in June, with the front end of the time charter forward curves (2016 contract months) all rising over 10%, while the near months in the Panamax and Supramax forward curves rose 19.5% and 18.3% respectively during June. Looking ahead, the forward curves imply strong upside for Capesize rates in the months ahead, while other vessel classes are expected to remain largely steady. The spot Cape/Panamax ratio closed June broadly unchanged at 1.50x, versus 1.49x a month ago (LTM avg.: 1.41x), remaining moderately above its last-twelve-month average.
Freight rates rise into month-end, industry remains cautious on market fundamentals
Following relative stability for much of the month, freight rates ticked higher into month-end on stronger chartering activity. In the coal market, domestic Chinese output restrictions and the resulting rise in unit costs have been spurring some optimism of stronger seaborne coal demand. In the iron ore market, Brazilian iron ore exports have notably been sequentially higher in Q3 (versus Q2) in all of the past ten years. That said, our latest industry survey indicates views have become moderately more cautious on the timing of a sustainable market rebalancing in the dry bulk freight market, with few anticipating a meaningful improvement in the supply -demand balance until 2018 at the earliest, and about a quarter of respondents not anticipating this until after 2020. Our survey also indicated a consensus view of between 0-3% global net dry bulk fleet growth this year.
Across key dry bulk commodities, iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports increased in June, continuing their general and sustained uptrend since early Q4 2015. Iron ore prices on average declined 5.7% m/m in June, though broke out higher towards month-end on a sentiment-driven rise in Chinese steel prices. Thermal coal inventory at Chinese ports on the other hand declined through June, while seaborne prices ended the month around a year-to-date high. Domestic Chinese output restrictions and higher unit costs have spurred optimism over stronger import demand in the coming months.
Source: SGX | Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 06 July 16
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 780000 MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 780,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal for its B ...
Wednesday, 06 July 16
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS VASSILIOU
After a fairly silent first half of the year in the ship repair sector, we have finally a harmonized workload in the shipyards around the world. Ma ...
Tuesday, 05 July 16
SPOT COAL INDEXES FOR INDONESIAN COAL CONTINUE TO HOLD FIRM - CS COAL INDEX
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up by 0.83 percent week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week, sh ...
Monday, 04 July 16
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE CLIMBED 2.30% IN JULY
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Benchmark Price increased in July 2016.
The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia, the r ...
Monday, 04 July 16
BDI ROSE ON STRONGER DEMAND ACROSS ALL VESSEL SEGMENTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 11.16 percent from la ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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