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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
Monday, 09 February 15
Q2' CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.28% TO $ 56.92 W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.93 (-3.28%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0 ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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