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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Saturday, 14 February 15
SHALE GAS AND TIGHT OIL ARE COMMERCIALLY PRODUCED IN JUST FOUR COUNTRIES - EIA
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The United States, Canada, China, and Argentina are currently the only four countries in the world that are producing com ...
Friday, 13 February 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SHOWS 10% DECLINE
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 February 15
SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED SHIP OWNERS SQUEEZED OUT OF THE MARKET ON CRASHING DRY BULK MARKET AND EUROZONE CRISIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Financing issues have started to tighten the noose in the throats of small and medium-size ship owners, who were already facing problems over the p ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
CAPESIZE: THE BEST DESCRIPTION FOR THE MARKET IS, FLAT - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The handy and supra market is also being affected by the marginal volume of activity in the commodity sales. We see a small upturn in the T ...
Thursday, 12 February 15
DRY BULK OWNERS SCRAP MORE VESSELS, AS MARKET REACHES HISTORICAL LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has reached historical lows this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) now trading at levels below operating expense levels for ...
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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