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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
Monday, 02 February 15
INDONESIA'S ADARO ENERGY PRODUCED 56.21 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 2014; UP 8% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: PT. Adaro Energy, Indonesia’s largest coal producer, has increased coal production by 8% to 56.21 million tonnes (Mt) from both ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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