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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Sunday, 08 February 15
BDI FELL CONTINUOUSLY HIT A THREE DECADES LOW
COALspot.com: This week Baltic Exchange Dry Freight Index (BDI) fell continuously hit a three decades low.
The BDI continuously fell and was d ...
Friday, 06 February 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP AN ESTIMATED 1.1% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 20.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 06 February 15
SHIP DAMAGED BY FIRE CAUSED BY PIRATES FOUND TO BE CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS - TAYLOR WESSING
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The High Court was asked to determine a number of preliminary issues, including whether a vessel was a constructive total ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
BDI HAS NOW FALLEN A LEVEL CLOSE TO THE INDEX'S HISTORIC LOW - INTERMODAL
They say a picture is worth a thousand words and in this instance just one look at the tables above is enough to understand the great pressure the ...
Thursday, 05 February 15
ULTRAMAX LEVELS FROM INDIA TO CHINA IN THE MID US$ 5000'S - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Despite the overall weak sentiment, there is a scent of optimism in the Atlantic market for ppt dates. Continent is still struggling with o ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
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