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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q2 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP DECLINED 8.66% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined by US$ 3.48 (-5.73%) month over month and US$ 2.35 (-3.94%) week ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
Q1' 2015 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN Q2 & Q4 2015 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 7.21 ...
Monday, 12 January 15
COAL: LOW PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DRIVE A SUPPLY-DRIVEN RECOVERY IN THE MEDIUM TERM - SGX
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices dropped to six-year lows in 2014 driven by persistent oversupply, SGX says in its “ Commodities 2014 - A ye ...
Monday, 12 January 15
FREIGHT MARKET: 2015 FLEET SUPPLY GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF CARGO GROWTH - SGX
COALspot.com: The dry bulk freight market was forced to digest a number of negatives in 2014 leading the Baltic Dry Index to fall 66% through the y ...
Monday, 12 January 15
SHIPPING - CHALLENGES AND RESOLUTIONS - EVA TZIMA
Last year has without a doubt been another challenging one both for both our industry and our country. As Greece is currently dominated by election ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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