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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 07 January 15
2015 IS RIDDLED WITH CHALLENGES FOR THE SHIPPING SECTOR, MOST NOTABLY THE DRY BULK MARKET - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the new year has now set foot for real, many are still looking to detect what’s in store for the various shipping markets, with the first ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
SHIPPING MUST ADOPT CAN-DO ATTITUDE IN 2015 - MOORE STEPHENS
Shipping needs to adopt a can-do attitude in order to successfully meet the challenges which are likely to come its way in 2015.
Shipping part ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 1.81% HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.74 (-1.51%) m ...
Tuesday, 06 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST W-O-W AND M-O-M, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 3.52 (-5. ...
Monday, 05 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 2.50 (-4.02%) month over month and gained US$ 0.20 ( ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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