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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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