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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In Oil we trust! The Barrel price has declined by almost a third in comparison to the 2014 January and has being on the downhill since early last s ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 46.97 PMT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has fell US$ 1.53 (-3.15 ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.51% LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.56 per MT (-3.0%) month over month and US$ 1.03 (-2.0%) week ove ...
Tuesday, 13 January 15
MORE PITFALLS FOR OWNERS LOOKING TO TERMINATE FOR UNPAID HIRE - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is a debatable point whether or not the obligation to pay hire under a time charter is a condition of the contract or ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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