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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 18 January 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 4.51 pct week on week on Friday 16, January 2015. The BDI closed at 741 points on this Friday after gaining arou ...
Friday, 16 January 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 7.3% W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
PANAMAX : MARKET CONTINUE ON LOW PACE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
On a general basis we can say that rates are softening in both hemispheres. Although for some specific trades we can see premiums being ach ...
Thursday, 15 January 15
LOW CASH COSTS, GOOD LIQUIDITY HELP ASIAN OIL COMPANIES IN PRICE ROUT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says that rated oil and gas production companies in Asia can comfortably operate under low oil prices for some time given their gener ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
DRY BULK MARKET NOTED ANOTHER WEEKLY DECLINE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry bulk market noted another weekly decline on Friday, with the performance of the Capesize market still weighing down on the re ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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