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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and maybe come out of its lethargy. Instead, the BDI moved below the 1,000 unit mark, a level which has been the psychological market barrier for the past couple of years, and started drawing up a completely different picture for dry bulkers compared to the one we see on the wet side and more specifically the crude sector, said Panos Makrinos, SnP Broker of Intermodal.
The broker further said, dry bulk asset prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality. In addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the "code" for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year's outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What's there to look forward to?
According to Intermodal, sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with new building prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?
Commenting on tankers, Intermodal said, on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt - blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year.
What has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors...
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 09 November 14
CAPE INDEX UP 3.06%; PANAMAX INDEX FELL 4.05%
COALspot.com: The BDI was almost at same levels compared to last week closing or just increased 0.77 pct from last week. The BDI was closed at 1437 ...
Friday, 07 November 14
U.S. PRODUCED 85.60 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL IN OCTOBER, UP 2.88% M-O-M
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 06 November 14
THE ATLANTIC HAS REMAINED STRONG WITH A HEALTHY SUPPLY OF NEW CARGOES
Handy
This week has continued its slow trend in both hemispheres and even though rates are a bit up w-o-w it is not a clear sign for any improvem ...
Wednesday, 05 November 14
CAPESIZE SEGMENT ENJOYED FIRMING RATES ACROSS BOTH BASINS
Following a fantastic week in terms of rate performance for Capes, the Dry Bulk market managed to note another positive weekly closing, which stron ...
Wednesday, 05 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
COALspot.com: The steep appreciation in dry bulker values between late 2012 and March 2014 resulted in unrealistically expensive ship values compar ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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