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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and maybe come out of its lethargy. Instead, the BDI moved below the 1,000 unit mark, a level which has been the psychological market barrier for the past couple of years, and started drawing up a completely different picture for dry bulkers compared to the one we see on the wet side and more specifically the crude sector, said Panos Makrinos, SnP Broker of Intermodal.
The broker further said, dry bulk asset prices keep dropping, expectations look dimmer by the day and new building prices are probably the only indicator in the sector still displaying some sort of resistance refusing to adjust accordingly to this new reality. In addition to the current order book, Vale seems to have finally cracked the "code" for entering its gigantic ships to the Chinese shores and the fate of coal exports to China are currently a big question mark following the new standards set by the government there. Optimism for a stronger Q4 has given its way to panic about next year's outlook and in many cases it feels like we are once again being overrun by sentiment. What's there to look forward to?
According to Intermodal, sale and purchase activity has been at healthy levels and -despite the large number of candidates- the market has remained highly liquid with a wide range of buyers for all sizes and age groups. Demo prices are very strong and activity is finally picking up to reflect the rising need for tonnage exiting the market. Prices for prompt re-sales are in par with new building prices after a long time and vessels being delivered now have little or zero differences from the designs that yards are marketing for construction. These facts along with the rising finance gap that has been widening throughout the year as private equity started to distance itself from shipping should provide enough disincentives for new orders going forward. Isn’t this the perfect storm that counter-cyclical investors are looking for?
Commenting on tankers, Intermodal said, on the other side of the fence, tankers are displaying a much rosier picture. The M/T Ariadni (166,000dwt - blt 2009) is being reported sold for a very solid USD 56.5m and analysts are becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook of the crude market, commenting on the low order book and rising demand for higher ton-mile cargo movements. Sale and purchase activity is steadily rising and asset values across all sizes are beating last done values every time. The New building market is also experiencing this euphoria with prices picking up at least 5% within weeks, completing an image very different to the one during the first quarter of the year.
What has changed? Are we going to shoot ourselves in the foot once again? Hopefully market pundits will understand that this long-awaited improvement has been achieved due to the entire sector patiently and painfully working towards a healthier equilibrium and we will avoid making the “recent” mistakes of other sectors...
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 13 November 14
MODERN DRY BULK SHIPS' PRICES START FIRMING UP - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
While the main story of the past few weeks has been the rebound of the dry bulk market, which has been a result of increased Chinese iron ore impor ...
Wednesday, 12 November 14
PANAMAX: WITNESSED A FAIRLY STABLE MARKET IN THE ATLANTIC
COALspot.com: Despite the fact that the Dry Bulk market noted another weekly increase, clouds of uncertainty returned mid-week onwards, as the mini ...
Wednesday, 12 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
COALspot.com: The fight continues between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three: Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. We are moving into a ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
FACING CHALLENGES AND MEETING OPPORTUNITIES - INTERNATIONAL EPC CONFERENCE & EXHIBITION
Press Release: SKYCONNECTION and TRANSEVENT, which is fully supported by the Institution of Engineers Indonesia and Ministry of Industry of the Rep ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.65 FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery decreased US$ 2.83 (-5.10%) month over month and US$ 1.35 (-2.50%) week ove ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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