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Thursday, 12 April 12
FIRST QUARTER OF 2012 SAW AN ADDITIONAL 24.2 MILLION DWT OF DRY BULK CARRIERS ENTERING THE FLEET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The inflow of newbuilt dry bulk vessels was larger than expected in the first quarter of 2012. As much as 24.2 million DWT were added to the fleet. This represents a close-to-record level that is only challenged by the deliveries during Q1-2011 where 24.4 million were delivered says BIMCO in an analysis of the dry bulk market. “This development has prompted an upward adjustment to our supply growth forecast for 2012 that now reads 11.4% y-o-y. So far, the active fleet has grown by 2.9% in 2012 as 288 vessels have been delivered, offset by 6.9 million DWT being demolished. The growth in the Handysize segment included 63 vessels of 2.2 million DWT – making the sub-segment grow by 3.2% during the first quarter of 2012. Meanwhile, the Capesize fleet absorbed another 10.5 million DWT, causing the fleet to grow by 4.3% since 1 January.
On the contracting side, things have calmed down significantly. Since the beginning of 2011, newbuilding orders have been fewer and fewer. For seven months in a row, the monthly level of new orders has not exceeded 1.8 million DWT. In comparison, the monthly average of ordered tonnage during 2010 stood at 8.1 million DWT. The remaining order book stays biased towards the larger ships sizes, with the order book to active fleet ratios being the highest for Panamax (60,000-100,000 DWT) at 40.8% with the Capesize segment being runners-up at 32.2%. The corresponding ratios for Handysize and Handymax are 25.4% and 26.8%” said BIMCO in its research note.
Regarding freight rates, it noted that “Capesize Time Charter Average will remain under pressure but improve from current very low levels, although it will not exceed USD 12,000 per day. For the smaller segments, we forecast that the Panamax and Supramax freight rates are likely to get closer to each other and improve, but remain in the USD 8,000-13,000 per day interval. Handysize rates should improve and head up, staying in the interval of USD 8,000-11,000 per day interval” it said.
Demand-wise, BIMCO stated that “there is no doubt that it takes time from when commodities are bought and transportation fixed and executed to the cargo being landed at the buyer’s desired port of discharge. There’s also no doubt that buying activity for staple cargoes such as coal and iron ore was hectic during the final months of 2011. If import figures continue to stay elevated and market conditions for bulkers stay weak, we can only conclude that the oversupply glut is apparently more severe and even heavier than we expected. Weather-related disruptions could not steal the picture from the overall devastating development in dry bulk freight rates that began in the first half of December 2011 and went all the way to early February before the bleeding was stopped. Since then, we have not seen any significant rebound, but rates have firmed slowly. This was in line with our forecast made in the previous report” says the report.
BIMCO further attempted to explain why rates came down that sharply in the first couple of months. “By looking at the import figures for main commodities such as iron ore and coal into China, you will find little indication that demand has died down, but March figures may present a more complete picture. Some commodities have certainly seen a drop in demand.
In the past three months (December-February) China imported 197 million tons of iron ore – up by 12% y-o-y – and 54.8 million tons of coal, up by 36%. This special market condition was a Capesize event only. As the dawn broke on 2012, the overcapacity menace returned with a vengeance, bringing not only Capesize rates to the floor but also Panamax, Supramax and Handysize rates at the same time.
When following the recent development in freight rates it is now crystal clear that the January touch-down was a sticky one. Currently, Capesize rates are still trapped in the shadows of USD 5,000 per day. The Capesize vessels that used to rule the development of freight rates have lost their position. For long periods during 2011 – and again in 2012 – rates were significantly below any other ship size. The fundamental imbalance is taking its toll. On the contrary, Supramax rates have now moved up to USD 10,000 per day, a level sufficient to cover daily running costs. This is sadly not the case for the Capesize segment generally right now. Looking back a little bit on recent history, the overall picture is similar in pattern for the various dry bulk segments, but different in levels. The limited total fleet growth in 2009 was partly due to extensive recycling of tonnage (10.1 million DWT), partly due to the rather limited introduction of new tonnage, a picture that changed completely in 2010 with the first deliveries of an exorbitant ordering spree. Despite a rather healthy demand picture during recent years, it remains a sizeable challenge to the freight markets to absorb so much tonnage. This has once again been carved in stone during the first quarter of 2012 and by seeing the very high segment growth rates for Capesize and Handymax in particular, the latter has been able to weather the storm in much calmer waters due to its more flexible nature in ports, cargoes and grab-fittings” concluded BIMCO.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 18 April 12
INDONESIA TO INTRODUCE EXPORT DUTY ON MINERAL ORES BY 6 MAY 2012
The Indonesian government is scheduled to issue regulation on export duty for minerals before May 6, 2012.
According to Bisnis Indonesia, as quot ...
Sunday, 15 April 12
THE SPOT FIXTURE RATES FOR SUPRAMAX IN SE ASIA SAW SOME SOFTENING OF CHARTER RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The market seem to be holding and except for Supramax and handy size index all other index was up with BDI up by 4.74 pct closing at ...
Friday, 13 April 12
MINERS OPPOSE GOVTS EXPORT TAX PLAN - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Indonesian mining companies have strongly protested the government’s plan to impose a 25 percent export tax on ...
Friday, 13 April 12
S&P CAUTIONS AGAINST NEW INDONESIAN MINING REGULATIONS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Investors may have expressed concerns about looming new mining regulations, but ratings agency Standard & Poor& ...
Wednesday, 11 April 12
TWO PERCENT OF IBP CONCESSION CONTAINS 42 MMT OF COAL
COALspot.com - 42.35 million ton of coal found in just 2% of PT Insani Bara Perkasa’s total concession area of 24,477 hectare.
Accord ...
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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