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Wednesday, 13 May 09
COAL SUPPLY MAY BE VASTLY OVERESTIMATED - ABC SCIENCE
The world's coal supply suggests reserves may be vastly overestimated and we could be facing an unprecedented global energy crisis, according to a US expert.
On the flip side, a dwindling supply of coal could also throw the brakes on global warming, some argue.
Common knowledge about coal is that major producing nations like China, the United States and Australia, have enough to last hundreds of years, far beyond the reach of oil, which may already be in its twilight years.
But worldwide coal production could plateau as early as 2025, according to one new estimate, and a growing group of scientists are concerned that fossil fuel supplies may begin dwindling by mid-century.
Last year, David Rutledge of the California Institute of Technology analysed the coal production patterns of five regions around the world - eastern Pennsylvania, France, Germany's Ruhr Valley, the United Kingdom and Japan - each of which was producing at less than a tenth of its peak levels.
He found that each of the depleted regions followed a rough bell curve of production; initial production was followed by a steep ramp-up, a plateau near peak levels, and then a consistent decline.
When he applied the same formula to coal data from around the world, the results were startling.
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's maximum estimate for extractable coal is about 3000 billion tonnes. Rutledge's calculations suggest just 600 billion tonnes.
The problem with the IPCC estimate is that it lumps coal reserves, which are easy to mine, with coal resources, which may be impossible to mine.
Time for rethink
Rutledge's study also shows that, historically, national governments in the five regions have overestimated their reserves by a factor of four on average.
"These appraisals are large-scale issues," he says. "But they're done by governments. What's the incentive for governments not to give a number that is too high?"
James Murray of the University of Washington agrees.
In a talk being presented later this month at the American Geophysical Union Joint Assembly, he plans to call for a re-evaluation of IPCC emissions scenarios, all 40 of which overstate humanity's ability to emit the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide, according to Rutledge's numbers.
The committee's projections predict CO2 levels in the atmosphere to approach 500 parts per million by 2050, if emissions continue on their current trend.
But Rutledge's work suggest that even if humans burn all the coal and oil we can get our hands on, we won't be able to push CO2 past 450 ppm. Oil sands and other unconventional fossil fuels probably won't add much to that total.
Murray and Rutledge diverge on the question of climate effects, though.
Using IPCC models, Rutlgedge argues that global temperatures won't get higher than 2°C above pre-industrial levels, at the lower end of what scientists think might spark 'dangerous' climate change.
"We're still going to have global warming, and it's a serious threat," says Murray. "I have no doubt the IPCC dramatically underestimates climate sensitivity."
Regardless of climate impacts, the concern over looming energy scarcity may be more acute than ever.
"I think we'll see peak coal somewhere between 2025 and 2035," says Richard Heinberg of the Post Carbon Institute in California. "This has huge economic implications. Without growth in our energy supplies, it's very difficult to see how we're going to grow the economy."
Source: http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2009/05/13/2569143.htm
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Tuesday, 12 May 09
BANPU'S PROFIT DOUBLES TO RECORD AFTER SALES JUMP - BLOOMBERG
BANPU Pcl, Thailand’s biggest coal producer, reported first-quarter profit more than doubled to a record after higher prices for the fuel boos ...
Tuesday, 12 May 09
COAL IN PLACE, GMR PLANS 2,000-MW THERMAL PLANT - BUSINESS-STANDARD
GMR ENERGY, a subsidiary of Bangalore-based infrastructure company GMR Infrastructure Ltd, is planning to set up a 2,000-Mw thermal power plant near ...
Monday, 11 May 09
SOUTH AFRICA PROBLEMS SLOW INDIA COAL BUYING - MINE WEB
Indian imports of South African coal are likely to be close to 12 million tonnes in 2009, up from 10 million last year.
Indian coal buyers were a ...
Saturday, 09 May 09
THE WEEK SAW BIT OF HECTIC ACTIVITY IN THE FREIGHT MARKET - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com (Singapore) : VISTAAR Shipping Pte Limited, one of the experienced ship operator in Singapore, said, the week saw bit of hectic ac ...
Saturday, 09 May 09
CHINA PLANS TO BUILD COAL STOCKPILE BASES IN SHANDONG - BLOOMBERG
China, the world’s largest coal producer and consumer, plans to build stockpiles of the fuel in the eastern province of Shandong to ensure sup ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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