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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Friday, 27 November 09
EXXARO SEES HIGH COAL DEMAND RAISING PRICES
Reuters reported that, South African diversified miner Exxaro Resources said on Thursday it expected coal prices to rise to between $70 and $75 per ...
Friday, 27 November 09
CENTENNIAL SAYS ENERGY-COAL PRICE TO RISE AS CHINA SEEKS FUEL
Bloomberg reported that, Centennial Coal Co., an Australian producer of the fuel, said contract prices are expected to rise in 2010, with Chinese co ...
Friday, 27 November 09
IN FIRST-10-MONTH OF 2009 COAL IMPORTS IN GUANGXI-FANGCHENG EXCEEDED FULL-2008 IMPORTS
According to Customs statistics, during the January-October, Fangcheng port accumulatively imported 3.676mln tons valuing U.S.$370, rising by 53.8% ...
Thursday, 26 November 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS TO RISE BY 170 PERCENT IN 2009
According to the statistics released by China's General Administration of Customs on November 23, China's coal imports for October totaled 11.1 mi ...
Thursday, 26 November 09
CIL EYES OVERSEAS ACQUISITIONS TO BRIDGE SUPPLY GAP
Coal Minister Sriprakash Jaiswal on Wednesday said that state-run coal major Coal India is looking to acquire coal blocks in the US and
othe ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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