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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Sunday, 22 November 09
SHORT PERIOD RATES FOR SUPRAMAX WAS AT US$ 25,000/26,000 PER DAY FOR VESSELS OPENING FAR EAST / SE ASIA - VISTAAR ANALYSIS
COALspot.com (Singapore): Analyised by Capt. Radhakrishnan Reddy, Managing Director of Vistaar Shipping Services, Singapore.
BDI hits a new high ...
Friday, 20 November 09
INDONESIA UNITED TRACTORS PLANS $430 MLN CAPEX IN 2010
Reuters reported that, Indonesian heavy equipment distributor and mining contractor PT United Tractors Tbk plans capital expenditure of $430 million ...
Friday, 20 November 09
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS HOPE RALLY WILL LAST
Boon times are still on the daily agenda of every dry bulk ship owner these days after one of the toughest year in the industry’s century-old ...
Friday, 20 November 09
NTPC LOOKING FOR LONG TERM CONTRACTS FOR COAL IMPORT
Business Standard of India reported that, State run power firm NTPC today said it is looking for long-term supply of coal from overseas market to me ...
Friday, 20 November 09
CHINESE COKING COAL SUPPLY TO BE 'TIGHT' IN 2010, KGI SAYS
Bloomberg Reported that, Stephen Wang, an analyst with KGI Securities in Taipei, comments on the outlook for Chinese steel production and demand for ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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