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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Monday, 30 November 09
INDIA UTILITIES MOVE TO COAL INDEX - PRICING
Indian state utilities are leading a switch to coal index-linked pricing from fixed prices to secure imports and to be visibly paying fair market pr ...
Monday, 30 November 09
RECAPITAL TO ACQUIRE BERAU COAL
Unlisted Indonesian coal producer Berau will redeem outstanding bonds before the acquisition by Recapital Advisers is completed by the end of this y ...
Friday, 27 November 09
IMPORTING LIGNITE INTO COAL RICH KOSOVO
Balkan Insight has discovered that one of Kosovo’s biggest firms is being forced to import lignite from Malaysia and Indonesia, despite estima ...
Friday, 27 November 09
SOUTH AFRICA STILL TOPS IN COAL EXPORT RANKINGS
Mining Weekly reported that, Despite significant coal-mining capacity recently discovered in the Southern African region, according to senior coal a ...
Friday, 27 November 09
BHP SEEKS VARIABLE COKING COAL PRICE IN JAPAN, NIKKEI SAYS
Bloomberg reproted that, BHP Billiton Ltd. has asked Japanese steelmakers to move to pricing of coking coal linked to spot rates rather than negotia ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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