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Thursday, 02 March 23
DRY BULK MARKET: THE WAY CHINA GOES, SO GOES THE MARKET - BIMCO
 We expect demand growth within the 1.5-2.5% range in 2023, driven by China’s economic recovery. Improvements in consumer sentiment should help solve the country’s real estate crisis and boost bulk demand.
However, demand growth could weaken to 1-2% in 2024 due to an expected reduction in coal shipments. Import demand should fall as India and China continue to boost domestic mining and Europe transitions away from fossil fuels.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates global economic growth of 2.9% in 2023 and 3.1% in 2024. The Chinese economy is now estimated to grow by 5.2% in 2023, a 0.8 percentage point increase over the IMF’s previous forecast.
The dry bulk fleet is forecast to grow by 2.7% in 2023 and by 2.0% in 2024. Deliveries remain limited amid a small orderbook at 7.5% of the fleet.
Supply is estimated to grow by 0.5-1.5% less than the fleet in 2023 and 2024 due to lower speeds caused by compliance with EEXI and CII regulations.
The supply/demand balance should improve in 2023, although risks will remain in 2024. We expect rates to start recovering as demand picks up in China.
Capesizes should benefit from a recovery in iron ore demand, while panamax ships are most exposed to a drop in coal shipments.
We expect freight rates to improve from the second half of 2023 onwards as a pick-up in demand in China drives an improvement in the supply/demand balance. Even though we expect demand growth to slow in 2024 as Europe cuts coal shipments and import demand from India and China stabilises, supply is still expected to grow at a slower pace and market conditions may still improve marginally. The bulk carrier fleet should grow by 2.7% in 2023 and by 2.0% in 2024 amid limited deliveries. Additionally, we expect environmental regulations to reduce supply growth by 0.5-1.5% as sailing speeds fall. Overall, supply is expected to increase by 1-2% in 2023 and by 0.5- 1.5% in 2024, while demand growth is predicted at 1.5-2.5% in 2023 and 1-2% in 2024. The expected recovery in iron ore shipments should result in a welcome rebound in capesize market conditions that have suffered from the low iron ore volumes throughout 2022. Conversely, the expected loss of coal shipments in 2024 could be a cause for concern for panamax ships since coal accounts for over half of their volume. The predicted improvement in the overall supply/demand balance is quite marginal as demand will outpace supply by only 0.5 pp in both 2023 and 2024. As such, the improvement is still vulnerable to a variety of risks that could still affect the demand outlook for 2023 and 2024. A slower-than-anticipated economic recovery in China or a delayed resolution of the real estate crisis could have a direct and significant impact on demand, thus impacting overall conditions for the dry bulk market.
Source: BIMCO
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Wednesday, 22 November 23
INDIA: GOVERNMENT PLANS 1.4 BILLION TONNE COAL OUTPUT BY 2027 - LIVEMINT
The Union coal ministry on Monday announced plans to increase India’s coal production to 1.404 billion tonne by 2027, with an eye to further ...
Wednesday, 22 November 23
OBLIGATION. INDONESIA AIMS TO START COLLECTING LEVIES FROM COAL MINERS IN JANUARY - REUTERS
Indonesia plans to start collecting levies from coal miners in January to be used to compensate miners who sell coal to the state utility at lower ...
Tuesday, 21 November 23
INDIAN COAL POWER PLANTS’ CAPACITY UTILISATION WILL IMPROVE TO 65% THIS FISCAL: - CRISIL
Coal-based thermal power units’ plant load factor (PLF) or capacity utilisation will improve to 65 percent in the current fiscal year despite ...
Tuesday, 14 November 23
CAPITAL PRODUCT PARTNERS L.P. ANNOUNCES TRANSFORMATIVE TRANSACTION INCLUDING THE ACQUISITION OF 11 NEWBUILD LNG CARRIERS FOR $3.1 BILLION
Capital Product Partners L.P. announced that it has entered into an umbrella agreement (the “Umbrella Agreement”) with Capital Maritime ...
Tuesday, 14 November 23
COAL INDIA BEATS Q2 PROFIT VIEW ON HIGH POWER DEMAND AMID WEAK MONSOON - REUTERS
Coal India on Friday reported better-than-expected second-quarter profit, helped by high power demand and boosted production amid a weak monsoon.
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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