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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Tuesday, 29 November 22
SEABORNE COAL FLOWS IN 2022 - SIGNAL
This year is crucial for the energy mix in European countries, as the EU has imposed new sanctions on Russia. It is important to emphasize that the ...
Friday, 25 November 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES CORRECT FROM RECORD HIGH - FITCH RATINGS
Prices of Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg coal have corrected following falling European gas and coal prices, and more supply from Australia could help miti ...
Thursday, 24 November 22
VIETNAM BOOSTS COAL USE PLAN FOR 2030 AS G7 CLIMATE OFFER STALLS - REUTERS
Vietnam has increased its coal power target for 2030 under a revised draft energy plan, government documents seen by Reuters show, while renewables ...
Tuesday, 22 November 22
THE GENCON 2022 CHARTERPARTY - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
BIMCO has published a revamped version of the popular GENCON charterparty. Our author, Helena Biggs, was a member of the ...
Tuesday, 22 November 22
INDIA POWER BINGES ON COAL, OUTPACES ASIA - REUTERS
India’s coal-fired power output has increased much faster than any other country in the Asia Pacific since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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