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Monday, 31 October 22
U.S. COAL-FIRED GENERATION DECLINING AFTER BRIEF RISE LAST YEAR - EIA
.jpg) We expect 6% less U.S. coal-fired generation in 2022 than in 2021, according to our latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). Although coal-fired generation declined each year between 2014 and 2020, it rose 16% in 2021 as a result of increased electricity demand and higher natural gas prices following the pandemic. Despite natural gas prices remaining high, coal-fired generation has continued its previous trend of decline this year as a result of constrained coal supply.
Coal and natural gas are two of the most prevalent sources of power generation in the United States. Natural gas-fired power plants that use modern combined-cycle technology can compete effectively with coal-fired generation because they operate with 30% to 35% greater efficiency. This difference affects relative fuel costs between coal and natural gas and the substitution between the two fuels.
Between 2020 and 2021, the delivered cost of natural gas for power generators nearly doubled while the delivered cost of coal grew by only 3%. The increase in natural gas prices caused the share of total natural gas-fired generation to fall to 37% in 2021 from 39% in 2020. In contrast, coal-fired generation increased in 2021 for the first time since 2014 and averaged 23% of U.S. generation, up from 20% in 2020.
The cost of delivering fuel to coal-fired and natural gas-fired generators depends on a wide variety of factors. Wholesale power prices are generally set by the price of natural gas, and natural gas prices have been volatile throughout most of 2022. Compared with coal-fired generators, costs for natural gas-fired generators are more dynamic. Natural gas is bought mostly in the daily, monthly, and seasonal markets to align fuel needs with power sales, which can be highly uncertain. Costs for coal-fired generators are more static because delivered coal prices are mostly based on long-term contracts and remain relatively steady for longer periods. So far this year, as reported to EIA, the delivered price of natural gas has increased more in percentage terms than the delivered price of coal, but natural gas prices for generators may decrease substantially in the fourth quarter.
Despite higher natural gas prices in 2022, we expect natural gas-fired generation will increase slightly this year, and its share of annual U.S. generation will increase from 37% to 38%. The electric power sector is not moving away from natural gas as we expected previously because coal-fired power plants, which have historically acted as a substitute for natural gas generation, have not been receiving enough coal to meet demand. We expect coal production to increase by less than 2% during 2022, and we expect much of that gain to be exported. We expect that the share of generation provided by coal will return to 20% in 2022, down from 23% last year.
Most coal is delivered to power plants by railroads in the United States, which have encountered a number of disruptions this year. Although U.S. coal inventories have been declining in recent years as coal-fired generators have retired, the limitations on coal deliveries have further constrained generators’ ability to replenish stocks and increase generation. During the first seven months of 2022, coal inventories at power plants averaged 23% lower than in 2021.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 07 December 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
China’s coal imports from January to October were 230.1m mt, a decrease of around 10.7% y-o-y (2021 totalled 323.2m mt). The question is if t ...
Wednesday, 07 December 22
INDIA'S STEEL MINISTRY SEEKS IMPORT TAX WAIVER FOR COKING COAL - SOURCES REUTERS REPORTED
India’s steel ministry has asked the finance ministry for a waiver of import tax on coking coal among a slew of raw materials, as it scramble ...
Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION RISES 17% IN APR-NOV PERIOD - PTI
The country’s coal production increased 17 per cent to 524.20 million tonnes in the April-November period of the ongoing fiscal.
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Tuesday, 06 December 22
INDONESIA AIMS TO STARTS COLLECTING COAL LEVY IN Q1 2023 - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia aims to establish a coal fund agency and start collecting a coal levy in the first quarter next year, to help ensure supply security for ...
Saturday, 03 December 22
COMPLEX RUSSIAN PRICE CAP MAKES MARITIME VISIBILITY A MUST - WINDWARD
Many commentators and analysts are speculating about the potential impact the Russian seaborne oil price cap will have on organizations and entitie ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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