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Tuesday, 04 October 22
A REMARKABLE SHIFT IN FORTUNES HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE CRUDE OIL TANKER MARKETS - ALLIED SHIPPING
 A remarkable shift in fortunes has been noted in the crude oil tanker markets over the past month, yet despite these shifts being seemingly in their infancy, we may well be seeing moves that could make these extremely favorable tailwinds be close to having run their course, says Allied Shipping Research in its latest report.
George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping Research, this weekend OPEC+ made some fairly controversial announcements with regards to its next monthly meeting which will take place this Wednesday. OPEC announced that it would discuss a plan to introduce substantial cuts in production of between 0.5 and 1.0 mbpd. This would make it by far the largest production cut since April 2020, when oil demand collapsed during the early part of the coronavirus pandemic. The reasoning behind this is claimed to be a preemptive effort to prop up prices before any potential global economic slowdown has its effects on crude oil consumption growth, but to also retain ample spare production capacity in case Russian output were to fall sharply during the next few months due to the increasing western sanctions coming into force.
Allied Shipping report further noted that, obviously in the case of the former, to most, it sounds more of a case of self-fulfilling prophecy, given that one of the biggest risks that global economic growth faces right now is the extensively high energy costs being faced. Beyond this, what struck most people as a major surprise is that this decision went counter to what we had been seeing during the summer months, where pressure from the US had pushed the OPEC+ group to accelerate production increases. It also gives Russia considerable breathing room, as higher oil prices would help prop up its oil revenues which have been facing considerable pressure of late as part of the large discounts it has had to offer and the considerable strengthening of the Ruble.
The weekly report further noted that, the prime mover in the tanker freight market, over the course of these past few months, has been an increase in consumption levels back to pre-pandemic levels. On top of this, we have also seen a considerable positive gain from increasing ton-miles, as supply chain disruptions from Russian sanctions caused a shift towards farther away sourcing. Given the inelastic nature of crude oil demand, the overall effect of the above would be hard to pinpoint and would likely be relatively minimal.
However, according to George Lazaridis, under the current global economic conditions and given how difficult the winter months were expected to be even before this announcement, an even further spike in crude oil prices compared to what was previously expected could further smother economic activity and in turn dampen the ability of most major economies (and in turn consumers) from keeping their consumption levels on par with the trends noted over the past few months.
Furthermore, it sets for an even more ominous horizon for crude oil markets, as even before this announcement by OPEC+, the high prices of crude had already helped fuel a major shift towards alternative energy sources. There was already talk in the market that these currently high energy prices had helped bring the energy transition agenda forward by 4 to 5 years. At even higher crude oil prices, an investment in its alternatives becomes ever increasingly more viable and further boosts its potential return on investment.
For the time being it looks as though the tanker market will just have to make the most of what it has been given and hope that things don’t turn sour too quickly. We must not forget that any decision to change production levels by OPEC+ takes a fair amount of time before it is fully implemented. At the same time given the geopolitical nature of all this, it is too early to tell if any and all of these scenarios follow through.
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Thursday, 06 October 22
COAL INDIA ASKED TO ENHANCE SUPPLY TO THERMAL POWER PLANTS - IANS
With the festival season round the corner, Coal India Ltd. has been directed by the government to scale up dispatch to thermal power plants.
&n ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
BUNKER PRICES DOWN AGAIN; IS THERE MORE TO COME? - INTEGR8 FUELS
It’s the economy…..”
VLSFO prices are now back to levels at the start of this year. After all the extremes of thi ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Amid the looming western sanctions on Russia, the country is challenged to pivot its energy markets away from Europe and toward the East. Yet, Russ ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
OIL PRICES COULD SOON RETURN TO $100 AS OPEC+ CONSIDERS ‘HISTORIC’ CUT, ANALYSTS SAY - CNBC
An influential alliance of some of the world’s most powerful oil producers is reportedly considering their largest output cut since the start ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SURGE AGAIN TO RECORD HIGH
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference reached another record high in October as Russia's war in Ukraine continues to spark a surge in c ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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