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Tuesday, 04 October 22
A REMARKABLE SHIFT IN FORTUNES HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE CRUDE OIL TANKER MARKETS - ALLIED SHIPPING
 A remarkable shift in fortunes has been noted in the crude oil tanker markets over the past month, yet despite these shifts being seemingly in their infancy, we may well be seeing moves that could make these extremely favorable tailwinds be close to having run their course, says Allied Shipping Research in its latest report.
George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping Research, this weekend OPEC+ made some fairly controversial announcements with regards to its next monthly meeting which will take place this Wednesday. OPEC announced that it would discuss a plan to introduce substantial cuts in production of between 0.5 and 1.0 mbpd. This would make it by far the largest production cut since April 2020, when oil demand collapsed during the early part of the coronavirus pandemic. The reasoning behind this is claimed to be a preemptive effort to prop up prices before any potential global economic slowdown has its effects on crude oil consumption growth, but to also retain ample spare production capacity in case Russian output were to fall sharply during the next few months due to the increasing western sanctions coming into force.
Allied Shipping report further noted that, obviously in the case of the former, to most, it sounds more of a case of self-fulfilling prophecy, given that one of the biggest risks that global economic growth faces right now is the extensively high energy costs being faced. Beyond this, what struck most people as a major surprise is that this decision went counter to what we had been seeing during the summer months, where pressure from the US had pushed the OPEC+ group to accelerate production increases. It also gives Russia considerable breathing room, as higher oil prices would help prop up its oil revenues which have been facing considerable pressure of late as part of the large discounts it has had to offer and the considerable strengthening of the Ruble.
The weekly report further noted that, the prime mover in the tanker freight market, over the course of these past few months, has been an increase in consumption levels back to pre-pandemic levels. On top of this, we have also seen a considerable positive gain from increasing ton-miles, as supply chain disruptions from Russian sanctions caused a shift towards farther away sourcing. Given the inelastic nature of crude oil demand, the overall effect of the above would be hard to pinpoint and would likely be relatively minimal.
However, according to George Lazaridis, under the current global economic conditions and given how difficult the winter months were expected to be even before this announcement, an even further spike in crude oil prices compared to what was previously expected could further smother economic activity and in turn dampen the ability of most major economies (and in turn consumers) from keeping their consumption levels on par with the trends noted over the past few months.
Furthermore, it sets for an even more ominous horizon for crude oil markets, as even before this announcement by OPEC+, the high prices of crude had already helped fuel a major shift towards alternative energy sources. There was already talk in the market that these currently high energy prices had helped bring the energy transition agenda forward by 4 to 5 years. At even higher crude oil prices, an investment in its alternatives becomes ever increasingly more viable and further boosts its potential return on investment.
For the time being it looks as though the tanker market will just have to make the most of what it has been given and hope that things don’t turn sour too quickly. We must not forget that any decision to change production levels by OPEC+ takes a fair amount of time before it is fully implemented. At the same time given the geopolitical nature of all this, it is too early to tell if any and all of these scenarios follow through.
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Thursday, 06 October 22
COAL INDIA ASKED TO ENHANCE SUPPLY TO THERMAL POWER PLANTS - IANS
With the festival season round the corner, Coal India Ltd. has been directed by the government to scale up dispatch to thermal power plants.
&n ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
BUNKER PRICES DOWN AGAIN; IS THERE MORE TO COME? - INTEGR8 FUELS
It’s the economy…..”
VLSFO prices are now back to levels at the start of this year. After all the extremes of thi ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Amid the looming western sanctions on Russia, the country is challenged to pivot its energy markets away from Europe and toward the East. Yet, Russ ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
OIL PRICES COULD SOON RETURN TO $100 AS OPEC+ CONSIDERS ‘HISTORIC’ CUT, ANALYSTS SAY - CNBC
An influential alliance of some of the world’s most powerful oil producers is reportedly considering their largest output cut since the start ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE SURGE AGAIN TO RECORD HIGH
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference reached another record high in October as Russia's war in Ukraine continues to spark a surge in c ...
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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