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Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China’s stronger-than-expected steel production, combined with an aggressive restocking of inventory levels and the country’s ports had driven iron ore prices well above expectations.
Iron ore stocks have also spiked as analysts upgrade their price forecasts for the commodity on the back of another unexpected recovery. The record prices of last May tumbled unexpectedly fast to under $US100 a tonne, and currently iron ore is taking the pundits again by surprise with a new run that now has it back near $US150/t. The sentiment is apparently still driven by signals about increased infrastructure spending in China and upgraded price forecasts. Nevertheless, and apart from the price of the commodity itself, it is very important that we still see the good fundamentals and dynamics there, which in any case support our overall optimism and hopes that better and more stable freight rates for Capes must be around the corner.
Looking at Australian iron ore exports to China, it is positive to see they remained robust last month despite the backdrop of rising market prices due to multiple factors including weather disruption and labor “shortage” concerns. Industry analysts said the proportion of Australian iron ore in China’s total iron ore imports may be reduced to below 60 percent in 2022 for the first time since 2015, especially as China is still diversifying its sources of supplies and deepening industry upgrading while pursuing low-carbon targets at the same time.
The price of iron ore was also reflected in the rising imports in China in recent weeks, and perhaps it is more important to keep an eye on inventory levels as well. According to data from industry sources, the total inventory of iron ore imported by steel mills across China reached about 117.57 million tons this week, an increase of 470,200 tons from the previous month. Of course it is always possible that the price increase could simply and perhaps only be related to seasonal speculation itself.
Overall since 2015, China’s iron ore imports from Australia and Brazil have accounted for nearly 80 percent of all imports, of which imports from Australia have exceeded 60 percent. Bilateral relations have soured again recently due to Australia’s attitude toward China, which has caused disruption for trade activities. Iron ore exports are still among the few remaining products that are still in high demand in China, partly due to the needs of the domestic construction sector. However, the expectation is that import proportion from Australia in 2022 is likely to drop below 60 percent, having been 61.6 percent in 2021 and 62.5 percent in 2020. We also hear a lot about the change in policy and the potential domestic supply of iron ore in China, not sure however if all this is something that will really re-shape the market dynamics in the future.
By Christopher Whitty,
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA TO LAUNCH NEW DATA MONITORING SYSTEM, TARGETING COAL MARKET SPECULATION, HOARDING - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner announced on Sunday a new data system for supervising the implementation of medium- and long-term contracts of c ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA’S STATE PLANNER SAYS COAL SUPPLY IMPROVING, PRICES STABILISING - REUTERS
China’s coal supply situation has seen significant improvement with joint efforts from coal producers, logistics and downstream users, while ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
HIGHER COKING COAL PRICES TO PARE PROFITABILITY OF STEELMAKERS IN SECOND HALF OF FY22 - CRISIL RATINGS
The operating margin of primary steelmakers will reduce by a third to 24-26% in the second half of this fiscal versus the first half as input cost ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
November is here and soon the all time seasonal favorite “all I want or Christmas is you” by Mariah Carey will be played in radio stati ...
Monday, 01 November 21
COAL PRICES HAVE FURTHER ROOM TO DROP: TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner said coal prices have further room to drop on Friday, as the most traded coal futures dropped to below 1,000 yua ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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