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Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications for U.S. coal market
The border between the United States and Canada is currently open for vaccinated travelers—but it may soon be closed to trainloads of American coal that pass through Canadian export terminals on their way to overseas markets.
In a late August announcement that drew little attention outside Canada, the governing Liberal Party pledged to ban all thermal coal exports from the country—whether the coal was mined in Canada or not.
The policy would extend the country’s existing efforts to phase out thermal coal: Canada has already halted approvals for new thermal coal mines and pledged to phase out coal-fired power by 2030. The export ban would be a major climate boon.
All told, a coal export ban could lead to roughly 13 million tons of thermal coal taken off the Pacific Rim export market, with the majority from Montana mines. For every ton of thermal coal not exported from Canada, long-term global coal consumption likely drops somewhere between 0.2 and 0.6 million tons due to market effects (less seaborne coal means slightly higher coal prices and slightly lower consumption). Doing the math—a ton of Montana coal releases about 2 tons of carbon dioxide, and cars release 4.6 tons of CO2 annually—Canada’s coal export ban would have the same climate impact as permanently removing between 1 million and 3 million cars from the road.
Despite the outsized benefits, the policy would have relatively modest (though locally concentrated) impacts on Canadian jobs. Thermal coal is primarily exported through just two export facilities: Ridley Terminals, just south of the Alaska border, and Westshore Terminals, about a mile north of the Washington border. Canada has only one export-oriented thermal coal mine, the Vista coal mine at the foot of the Rocky Mountains in Alberta.
For most of the past decade, Ridley Terminals handled between 2 million and 3 million metric tons of thermal coal annually, although thermal exports boomed to 5.2 million tons in 2020, largely due to the opening of Vista.
But Vista has struggled both financially and operationally. The mine temporarily shut down in February due to an engineering error. Its mining waste system had failed and the company couldn’t obtain a permit to expand its tailings ponds. In April, the mine’s parent company, Coalspur, found itself overwhelmed by debts, admitting that it was “insolvent” and that it urgently required bankruptcy protection. Meanwhile, Coalspur and Ridley sparred over shipping costs, and the Vista mine eventually shifted all of its shipments south to Westshore. Amid the turmoil, thermal coal exports through Ridley have collapsed to almost nothing, even as shipments of metallurgical coal and other commodities through the terminal have remained strong.
Despite Vista’s shift to Westshore, the southern terminal has been angling away from thermal coal. Jim Pattison, the car salesman-turned-billionaire who controls Westshore, wants to transition its operations away from thermal coal and into potash “as rapidly as we can,” and the terminal has already signed an export deal with a new potash mine in Saskatchewan. Over the past decade, Westshore has shipped more than twice as much metallurgical coal as thermal coal, and the vast majority of its thermal coal shipments originated from U.S. mines, particularly the Spring Creek and Signal Peak mines in Montana. As a result, Westshore’s shift from U.S. thermal coal to Canadian potash will likely be a net boon for Canada’s mining sector.
There’s reason to believe that ending thermal coal exports would have broad political support. Canada’s New Democratic Party is also on record as being “committed to ensuring that we end the export of thermal coal.” Even in coal-rich Alberta, roughly 90 percent of Canadians have reservations about expanding coal mining. A ban on thermal coal exports through or from Canada is a sign that even as prices for the mineral soar, trainloads of thermal coal are likely to be physically and metaphorically stuck at the station.
Clark Williams Derry (cwilliamsderry@ieefa.org) is an IEEFA energy finance analyst.
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Tuesday, 16 November 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL USE FOR POWER GENERATION SET TO RISE 3% - REUTERS
Indonesia’s coal consumption for power generation is likely to rise by 3.1% next year compared to 2021, the head of the country’s state ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
CHINA'S MONTHLY COAL OUTPUT RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2015 - REUTERS
China’s October coal output rose to the highest since at least March 2015, after Beijing approved a raft of coal mine expansions to tame reco ...
Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Dre ...
Friday, 12 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Friday, 12 November 21
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE TOPS $215 A TON; THE HIGHEST COAL PRICE IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second half of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $215.01 in November 2021 ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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