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Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications for U.S. coal market
The border between the United States and Canada is currently open for vaccinated travelers—but it may soon be closed to trainloads of American coal that pass through Canadian export terminals on their way to overseas markets.
In a late August announcement that drew little attention outside Canada, the governing Liberal Party pledged to ban all thermal coal exports from the country—whether the coal was mined in Canada or not.
The policy would extend the country’s existing efforts to phase out thermal coal: Canada has already halted approvals for new thermal coal mines and pledged to phase out coal-fired power by 2030. The export ban would be a major climate boon.
All told, a coal export ban could lead to roughly 13 million tons of thermal coal taken off the Pacific Rim export market, with the majority from Montana mines. For every ton of thermal coal not exported from Canada, long-term global coal consumption likely drops somewhere between 0.2 and 0.6 million tons due to market effects (less seaborne coal means slightly higher coal prices and slightly lower consumption). Doing the math—a ton of Montana coal releases about 2 tons of carbon dioxide, and cars release 4.6 tons of CO2 annually—Canada’s coal export ban would have the same climate impact as permanently removing between 1 million and 3 million cars from the road.
Despite the outsized benefits, the policy would have relatively modest (though locally concentrated) impacts on Canadian jobs. Thermal coal is primarily exported through just two export facilities: Ridley Terminals, just south of the Alaska border, and Westshore Terminals, about a mile north of the Washington border. Canada has only one export-oriented thermal coal mine, the Vista coal mine at the foot of the Rocky Mountains in Alberta.
For most of the past decade, Ridley Terminals handled between 2 million and 3 million metric tons of thermal coal annually, although thermal exports boomed to 5.2 million tons in 2020, largely due to the opening of Vista.
But Vista has struggled both financially and operationally. The mine temporarily shut down in February due to an engineering error. Its mining waste system had failed and the company couldn’t obtain a permit to expand its tailings ponds. In April, the mine’s parent company, Coalspur, found itself overwhelmed by debts, admitting that it was “insolvent” and that it urgently required bankruptcy protection. Meanwhile, Coalspur and Ridley sparred over shipping costs, and the Vista mine eventually shifted all of its shipments south to Westshore. Amid the turmoil, thermal coal exports through Ridley have collapsed to almost nothing, even as shipments of metallurgical coal and other commodities through the terminal have remained strong.
Despite Vista’s shift to Westshore, the southern terminal has been angling away from thermal coal. Jim Pattison, the car salesman-turned-billionaire who controls Westshore, wants to transition its operations away from thermal coal and into potash “as rapidly as we can,” and the terminal has already signed an export deal with a new potash mine in Saskatchewan. Over the past decade, Westshore has shipped more than twice as much metallurgical coal as thermal coal, and the vast majority of its thermal coal shipments originated from U.S. mines, particularly the Spring Creek and Signal Peak mines in Montana. As a result, Westshore’s shift from U.S. thermal coal to Canadian potash will likely be a net boon for Canada’s mining sector.
There’s reason to believe that ending thermal coal exports would have broad political support. Canada’s New Democratic Party is also on record as being “committed to ensuring that we end the export of thermal coal.” Even in coal-rich Alberta, roughly 90 percent of Canadians have reservations about expanding coal mining. A ban on thermal coal exports through or from Canada is a sign that even as prices for the mineral soar, trainloads of thermal coal are likely to be physically and metaphorically stuck at the station.
Clark Williams Derry (cwilliamsderry@ieefa.org) is an IEEFA energy finance analyst.
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Thursday, 04 November 21
FASTER DECARBONISATION: BACK TO BASICS FOR THE MINING INDUSTRY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
To the uninitiated, rugby is a technical and complicated game. As young schoolboys it was all a wee bit confusing and we invariably ended up on the ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA TO LAUNCH NEW DATA MONITORING SYSTEM, TARGETING COAL MARKET SPECULATION, HOARDING - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner announced on Sunday a new data system for supervising the implementation of medium- and long-term contracts of c ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
CHINA’S STATE PLANNER SAYS COAL SUPPLY IMPROVING, PRICES STABILISING - REUTERS
China’s coal supply situation has seen significant improvement with joint efforts from coal producers, logistics and downstream users, while ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
HIGHER COKING COAL PRICES TO PARE PROFITABILITY OF STEELMAKERS IN SECOND HALF OF FY22 - CRISIL RATINGS
The operating margin of primary steelmakers will reduce by a third to 24-26% in the second half of this fiscal versus the first half as input cost ...
Wednesday, 03 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
November is here and soon the all time seasonal favorite “all I want or Christmas is you” by Mariah Carey will be played in radio stati ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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