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Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications for U.S. coal market
The border between the United States and Canada is currently open for vaccinated travelers—but it may soon be closed to trainloads of American coal that pass through Canadian export terminals on their way to overseas markets.
In a late August announcement that drew little attention outside Canada, the governing Liberal Party pledged to ban all thermal coal exports from the country—whether the coal was mined in Canada or not.
The policy would extend the country’s existing efforts to phase out thermal coal: Canada has already halted approvals for new thermal coal mines and pledged to phase out coal-fired power by 2030. The export ban would be a major climate boon.
All told, a coal export ban could lead to roughly 13 million tons of thermal coal taken off the Pacific Rim export market, with the majority from Montana mines. For every ton of thermal coal not exported from Canada, long-term global coal consumption likely drops somewhere between 0.2 and 0.6 million tons due to market effects (less seaborne coal means slightly higher coal prices and slightly lower consumption). Doing the math—a ton of Montana coal releases about 2 tons of carbon dioxide, and cars release 4.6 tons of CO2 annually—Canada’s coal export ban would have the same climate impact as permanently removing between 1 million and 3 million cars from the road.
Despite the outsized benefits, the policy would have relatively modest (though locally concentrated) impacts on Canadian jobs. Thermal coal is primarily exported through just two export facilities: Ridley Terminals, just south of the Alaska border, and Westshore Terminals, about a mile north of the Washington border. Canada has only one export-oriented thermal coal mine, the Vista coal mine at the foot of the Rocky Mountains in Alberta.
For most of the past decade, Ridley Terminals handled between 2 million and 3 million metric tons of thermal coal annually, although thermal exports boomed to 5.2 million tons in 2020, largely due to the opening of Vista.
But Vista has struggled both financially and operationally. The mine temporarily shut down in February due to an engineering error. Its mining waste system had failed and the company couldn’t obtain a permit to expand its tailings ponds. In April, the mine’s parent company, Coalspur, found itself overwhelmed by debts, admitting that it was “insolvent” and that it urgently required bankruptcy protection. Meanwhile, Coalspur and Ridley sparred over shipping costs, and the Vista mine eventually shifted all of its shipments south to Westshore. Amid the turmoil, thermal coal exports through Ridley have collapsed to almost nothing, even as shipments of metallurgical coal and other commodities through the terminal have remained strong.
Despite Vista’s shift to Westshore, the southern terminal has been angling away from thermal coal. Jim Pattison, the car salesman-turned-billionaire who controls Westshore, wants to transition its operations away from thermal coal and into potash “as rapidly as we can,” and the terminal has already signed an export deal with a new potash mine in Saskatchewan. Over the past decade, Westshore has shipped more than twice as much metallurgical coal as thermal coal, and the vast majority of its thermal coal shipments originated from U.S. mines, particularly the Spring Creek and Signal Peak mines in Montana. As a result, Westshore’s shift from U.S. thermal coal to Canadian potash will likely be a net boon for Canada’s mining sector.
There’s reason to believe that ending thermal coal exports would have broad political support. Canada’s New Democratic Party is also on record as being “committed to ensuring that we end the export of thermal coal.” Even in coal-rich Alberta, roughly 90 percent of Canadians have reservations about expanding coal mining. A ban on thermal coal exports through or from Canada is a sign that even as prices for the mineral soar, trainloads of thermal coal are likely to be physically and metaphorically stuck at the station.
Clark Williams Derry (cwilliamsderry@ieefa.org) is an IEEFA energy finance analyst.
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Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
SE ASIA POWER DEMAND TO RISE AS STATE SUPPORT MITIGATES COVID-19 IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
Electricity demand in south-east Asia is likely to increase in 2021, following slow growth or contraction in 2020, thanks to state support that has ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
FITCH RATINGS INCREASES MOST GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has increased most metals and mining price assumptions, particularly those that benefit from increased longer-term demand due to glob ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICE DROPS IN MID-NOVEMBER AMID GOVERNMENT’S SWEEPING MEASURES - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s coal prices have dropped significantly in mid-November compared with the beginning of the month, with the price of coking coal and co ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Inflation is the word that has dominated the meetings of foreign leaders and finance ministers in recent weeks, as rising energy costs, supply chai ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
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