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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 30 June 21
BUMA SIGNED MINING AGREEMENT WITH ADARO
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama ("BUMA"), has entered into an agreement for the p ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The strong freight performance since the beginning of year has continued for the dry bulk market with earnings being at the highest level in over a ...
Monday, 28 June 21
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA THREATENS TO REVOKE 2,350 MINING BUSINESS PERMITS
The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources said that the revocation of mining business permits was in accordance with President Jokowi's inst ...
Sunday, 27 June 21
INDONESIA'S STATE-OWNED UTILITY PLN'S 2060 NET ZERO AMBITION NOT WITHOUT FLAWS AND GAPS - IEEFA
Indonesia on the right emissions reduction pathway but same old coal stories persist
Recent announcements by Indonesia’s state-owned uti ...
Saturday, 26 June 21
COAL PRICES HIT DECADE HIGH DESPITE EFFORTS TO WEAN THE WORLD OFF CARBON - WSJ
Rebounding electricity usage and scanty rainfall in China have added fuel to the rally
Coal prices have climbed to their highest lev ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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