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Wednesday, 23 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The first half of 2021 has brought a very sharp and continued recovery in the dry bulk market and while many where expecting a relatively strong market, very few anticipated the levels we have seen to date. While both supply and demand forces have acted favorably, the rebound of dry bulk freight rates to multi year highs was primarily demand led. A synchronized record high economic stimulus across the globe, led by China, in order to prop up the economies from the COVID-19 shock was the major catalyst.
The multiplier effect in dry bulk commodities demand came in V shape and materialized into a counter seasonal freight surge to multiyear highs throughout the 1H2021. Furthermore, quarantines related to COVID-19 and elevated congestion have led to fleet inefficiencies across basins, which along with a decelerating dry bulk fleet growth have helped to further tighten the demand supply balance. On the new building front, ordering has been moderate – similar levels with 2020 – steel price surging and solid demand has led Builders to increase their prices, which refrained owners from turning to new buildings.
The global container shipping industry has also recorded a long-awaited increase in demand. An unprecedented shortage in containers amid surging demand for consumer goods since the pandemic started has sent container freight rates to record high levels. Also, port congestion and logistical disruptions exacerbated by the Suez Canal incident have contributed to the surge. With global GDP growth projections revised to 6.0% and savings rates still high, the multiplier effect on container rates should continue in the medium term. Demand will eventually normalize as consumers’ preferences shift back to services with the economies reopening, but freight rates are expected to remain elevated despite a potential gradual softening from record highs.
The turning point will be when high trade costs spill over to prices of final goods and inflation starts hitting consumers’ income. For the time being, global manufacturing PMIs stand at multi-year highs and assuming that we have reached the mid-cycle in PMIs as many analysts have signaled, there will be a lag factor in demand reaction from surging trade costs. We do observe an increase in NB activity (see graph) with orderbook now close to 17% of the fleet, which is not expected to impact the market with accelerating fleet supply growth until later in 2023.
By Theodore Ntalakos,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY INDIA’S SOLAR POWER TARIFFS ARE CLIMBING AFTER HITTING RECORD LOWS LAST YEAR - IEEFA
What’s behind the recent increase?
Solar tariffs are deflationary. Prices have fallen by 75% in seven years in India, and in 2 ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
END TO COAL POWER BROUGHT FORWARD TO OCTOBER 2024
Press Release: The deadline to phase out coal from Great Britain's energy system has been brought forward by a whole year, highlighting the UK& ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
WHY BUILD 600 NEW UNPROFITABLE COAL PLANTS? - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Governments in Asia are planning 600 new coal plants that could lose investors $150 billion and derail efforts to limit temperature rise in line wi ...
Thursday, 01 July 21
FIVE ASIAN COUNTRIES ACCOUNT FOR 80% OF NEW COAL POWER INVESTMENT - THE GUARDIAN
Five Asian countries are jeopardising global climate ambitions by investing in 80% of the world’s planned new coal plants, according to a rep ...
Wednesday, 30 June 21
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR RECORDED AN IMPROVED REVENUE IN Q1 2021; REVENUE INCREASED BY 49% QOQ TO US$160 MILLION ON THE BACK OF COAL PRICE RECOVERY
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. (“DOID”) released its consolidated financial and operating results that include its primary and wholly-owned ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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