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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Monday, 29 March 21
MOODY'S: OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL METALS AND MINING INDUSTRY TURNS POSITIVE ON HIGHER EBITDA IN PANDEMIC'S WAKE
- Demand for steel, iron ore and copper will rise, while aluminum, nickel and zinc will remain in surplus
- EBITDA is expected to ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
'OMNIBUS LAW' REGULATION ON INDONESIA’S ENERGY AND MINING SECTORS TO BOOST COAL PROCESSING BUT ALSO RAISES QUESTIONS - ABNR
February 2021 saw the issuance of a raft of new government regulations to give effect to the reformist Job Creation Law (colloquially known as the ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
PROPOSED SWITCH FROM COAL TO LNG THREATENS RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT IN ASIA - IEEFA
Renewables offer an ever cheaper, financially sustainable and energy secure alternative, better able to support developing nations
A ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
MAJOR INVESTMENT ADVISORS BLACKROCK AND MEKETA PROVIDE A FIDUCIARY PATH THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
BlackRock and Meketa say divestment from fossil fuels improves, not weakens, investment returns
Two major financial management firms ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
EUROPE PASSES MILESTONE WITH HALF OF COAL PLANTS CLOSED OR SET TO RETIRE BY 2030 - EURACTIV
Half of Europe’s 324 coal-fueled power plants have either closed or announced a retirement date before 2030, it emerged on Monday (22 March) ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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