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Wednesday, 04 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As the end of the year approaches, one would definitely notice that the newbuilding orderbook for bulk carriers is significantly smaller compared to the levels of the same period last year; a year where newbuilding orders were also down compared to the year before.
Starting with the Handysize sector, a total number of 109 units are on order compared to the 127 units for the same period last year (5% vs 4% today in terms of orderbook to fleet ratio). In the Supra-Ultra segment, 233 ships were on order last year vs 188 units until today (5% of the fleet today vs 7% the year before). Moreover, regarding Panamax-Kamsarmax front is concerned, from a total orderbook of 193 ships last year, the current one now consists of 121 ships (9% vs 5% today). Finally, the orderbook of Capes/Newcastlemax stands today at 126 units vs 201 ships during the same period last year (7% and 12% of the existing fleet respectively).
Although the slow newbuilding contracting activity is evident and welcomed by all dry bulk ship owners, it is very interesting to undergo a more detailed research of the reasons that led to the above slump of orders. Initially, the fresh capital that used to come from investors, who are not directly related to the shipping industry, has dried up. With returns falling below expectations or being negative, the appetite for participation in newbuilding projects has gradually decreased.
Another reason is the absence of a breakthrough technology that would bring a meaningful improvement in new building designs, which are pretty much the same during the past 5 years. Notwithstanding that the most important “known- unknown” is still the next modus of propulsion. As a result, the shipping industry’s “divided” view on the commercial and long-term implementation feasibility of ESG in maritime transportation remains present, with shipping participants unable to reach a consensus on what type of fuel will the next generation ships use. Hence several owners adopt a “wait and see” approach while monitoring the new developments in the sector.
In addition to the above, another important reason why newbuilding orders are low, is definitely the low price of 5-yrs old ships compared to newbuilding prices. Ship builders are more inelastic on prices compared to the prices of modern second hand units which in today’s dynamic SnP market fluctuate in line with the freight market that has been extremely volatile over the past two years. Consequently, a significant amount of SnP transactions of modern ships have materialized. Specifically, 44 ships less or equal to 5-yrs old have been sold during 2019 and 44 in 2020 so far with prices mainly trading at a discount over newbuilding prices, which is as a disincentive for owners to order new ships.
All in all, bearing in mind all the above and in combination with the current low fleet-orderbook ratio, it seems that dry bulk owners should stop worrying about the supply of new ships, and focus on how many ships exit the market for recycling. That being said, an increase in scrapping activity will definitely boost freight rates further, and a bull market might be just around the corner.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 December 20
MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPPING
It is now undisputed that oil consumption for 2020 will post a considerable drop, as demand for several petroleum products has plummeted since the ...
Tuesday, 08 December 20
PANAMAX: THE OVERALL MARKET SEEMS TO BE UNDER NEGATIVE PRESSURE - ALLIED
Capesize
A rather indifferent week for the Capesize market, with BCI 5TC figure finishing the week with slight losses of 0.8%. The Atlantic enj ...
Friday, 04 December 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Friday, 04 December 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE REACHES THREE MONTH HIGH ON IMPROVING DEMAND OUTLOOK
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference reaches three month high on improving demand outlook . The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose by& ...
Wednesday, 02 December 20
GLOBAL MINING SECTOR OUTLOOK STABLE DUE TO CHINA'S RECOVERY - FITCH RATINGS
China’s post-pandemic economic recovery and sizeable infrastructure-focused government stimulus boosted global metals and mining prices, help ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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