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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 June 20
KOREA SOUTHERN POWER CO INVITED 80000 MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL FOR AUGUST 1H, 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 80,000 Metric Tons (MT) Min 4,200 kcal/kg - Max. ...
Tuesday, 16 June 20
A GLOBAL ECONOMIC SLUMP: WHAT WILL IT MEAN FOR METALS AND MINING? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Back before coronavirus knocked “normal” out cold, the key issues for miners were sub-investment prices, rising requirements for ESG an ...
Tuesday, 16 June 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.58 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 124.43 points Monday, up 0.58 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 16 June 20
HIGHER IRON ORE PRICES OFFSET CORONAVIRUS-DRIVEN PRODUCTION RISK - FITCH RATINGS
Lower iron ore production in Brazil, resulting from rising coronavirus infections, should only marginally affect the cash flow of Vale and other gl ...
Tuesday, 16 June 20
SHALE SHOCKED - WOOD MACKENZIE
Capturing shut-ins in real time
Oil markets are searching for balance as the world reflects on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. ...
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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