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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 23 June 20
COVID-19 COULD CAUSE A BOOM IN COAL POWER - RYSTAD ENERGY | OILPRICE
COVID-19 has not only impacted the energy industry’s revenues but also its infrastructure development.
The delay of new natural gas ...
Tuesday, 23 June 20
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT UP 0.9 PCT IN JANUARY-MAY: XINHUA
Output of raw coal in China rose 0.9 percent year on year to 1.47 billion tonnes in the first five months of this year, official data showed.
& ...
Monday, 22 June 20
KAMSARMAX TYPES REGULARLY HIT THE $9,000 PER DAY LEVEL FOR INDONESIAN COAL RUN TO CHINA, BALTIC BRIEFING SAYS
Capesize
The Capesize market trajectory this week has been one of the steepest rallies the sector has experienced. Opening at $12,410, the sect ...
Saturday, 20 June 20
WORLD OIL DEMAND IS PROJECTED TO DECREASE BY 9.1 MB/D IN 2020 - OPEC
Crude Oil Price Movements
Spot crude oil prices rebounded in May from low levels registered a month earlier, as physical market fundamentals im ...
Saturday, 20 June 20
NO ESCAPING GLOBAL TRADE SLUMP - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Those hoping for a decent recovery in trade in the second half of the year should prepare for disappointment.
New data from the Unit ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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