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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the potential levels we will see during the last quarter of the year. When looking at the iron ore market we notice various positive fundamentals driving and supporting the long term dynamics that are in turn, having an impact on the freight levels for the commodity.
Iron ore prices have now declined after surging to their highest levels in more than six years earlier in September this year, on the back of supply disruptions in Brazil and record steel output in China. Market watchers have warned of a possible near-term slowdown in prices this month, though major financial institutions and analysts have mentioned that strong Chinese demand will most likely support prices for the rest of the year. China’s dominance in iron ore consumption gives it considerable capacity to set global prices. Chinese steel production is forecasted to drop slightly to 987 million tonnes this year, before potentially rebounding to more than 1 billion tons in 2021. China imports more than 70% of seaborne iron ore to feed its steel industry -which is the world’s most prominent.
On the supply side, Australia is dominant as it tops global annual iron ore exports. The commodity earns the country a substantial AUD100 billion in annual revenue. Sources in Australia are expecting elevated iron ore prices for the next two years. It is projected that commodity exports of the country will again thrive in the year ahead, which highlights the economic opportunity presented by the absence of a high number of coronavirus cases in Western Australia - which is responsible for the vast majority of Australia's iron ore production. Australian miners have been enjoying the strongest iron ore prices in six years on the back of record Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, where dam safety and issues caused by the pandemic have adversely affected output levels.
Also underpinning iron ore prices in the short term are constraints on Brazilian supply. Vale SA is now facing tougher regulatory requirements following the consequences of the dam disaster coupled with the current coronavirus situation which is derailing production plans. In view of the above and the overall economic fundamentals, the country’s production is not expected to return to “normal” levels until late 2022. That being said, iron ore prices rose as high as $US130 a tonne in the past two months. Analysts predicted that iron ore would hold around $US100 a tonne "over coming months" and would gradually decline to be closer to $US85 a tonne by June 2021.
Given China’s important role in the dry bulk market and in particular it’s influence on the freight levels of the Capesize segment, it is always interesting to keep an eye on its development and recovery in industrial production. China’s intensive import levels have, so far, been enough to support market fundamentals and rates. However, volatility is still there for the dry bulk market and hopefully the rest of the world will also follow suit in the recovery wave at some point soon.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage & Marine Port Services
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 11 June 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
OPEC+ CUTS EXTENSION TO ACCELERATE MARKET REBALANCING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-London-08 June 2020: The OPEC+ agreement to extend by one month record oil production cuts should accelerate market rebalancing, Fitc ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
In contrast to the economic projections of the past two years for the first half of 2020, the oil & gas industry and those involved in it faced ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.19 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 123.71 points Monday, down 0.19 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Tuesday, 09 June 20
BUNKER SUPPLY CONTRACTS - KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE BUYER - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Regardless of whether a buyer purchases fuel directly from physical suppliers or via brokers or traders and whether sale ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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