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Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day personal and professional lives. All industrial markets have been influenced by the coronavirus pandemic and the tanker market is no exception. The spread of COVID-19 coupled with the IMO 2020 regulations have caused noticeable fluctuations in bunker prices and trading habits. On the 6th of January, VLSFO prices in Fujairah were as high as USD 790/mt and fell to below USD 200/mt in a mere 3-month period. WTI followed a similar pattern as it hovered at just above USD 60/barrel in early January and saw “negative” rates on the 20th of April; it has never fully rebounded (to date) back to its to pre-lockdown price levels. Oil trading houses took conservative approaches in minimizing their risk exposures owing to the mounting uncertainty and investor ambiguity that had resulted from the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Many projects were paused while trading activity was kept to a minimum.
The trading lag created an environment that allowed for contango opportunities; many traders/oil majors attempted to capitalize on this by securing VLCC/Suezmax vessels for T/C periods of up to 6 months. Due to the oil surplus in the market, shore tanks were nearing their maximum storage capacities and suppliers were keen to sell at low rates to ensure the continued and sound operations of refineries. The temporary shutdown and reopening of a refinery costs millions of dollars which places a rather hefty (almost unbearable) financial burden on the respective supplier. Throughout the period of the storage craze, some of the highest freight rates of the last decade were observed. Freights were boosted by a plethora of parameters such as market sentiment, bullish owners and prolonged wait times of ships during loading/discharging owing to the profound lack of storage.
In general - with the exception of VLCC’s who have benefited from the overall increased demand for storage - crude tankers have not managed to improve their performance in the last 3 months. Aframax and Suezmax vessels are still committed to sluggish markets which are heavily affected by seasonal patterns. Historically, summer months were always depressed in terms of trading activity. However, current imminent fears of further regional/nationwide lockdowns are further weakening sentiment in the oil trade. On the clean side, we’ve seen tonnage lists with many prompt ships around loading areas with MR’s overcoming LR1’s. At the same time, LR2’s seem to be patiently waiting for MR’s to get busier, after which they expect to receive loading enquiries from charterers. On Monday we saw WTI & BRENT enter a steep fall, which may be a direct result of further country-wide imposed COVID-19 related restrictions due to the fear of another wave. On a more positive supply-side note, Libyan exports are now back on the table and are rumored to see increases of ca. 300%!
A glimpse of light is anticipated by owners as we move towards the end of the year. It is widely hoped that traders will push to complete their programs by the close of the year to meet their minimal annual objectives. Nevertheless, the uncertain atmosphere in the tanker sector is expected to project well into the fourth quarter; a potential coronavirus vaccine is the only factor which seems capable of “straightening out” the rather mixed present sentiment.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
BUMA SIGNED US$1.0 BILLION WORTH OF EXTENSION CONTRACT WITH BERAU COAL
PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, subsidiary of PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has extended its mining services contracts with PT Berau Coal, in relation ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIA 2020 COAL CONSUMPTION ESTIMATED AT 140-145 MLN TONNES - OFFICIAL, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is estimated at 140-145 million tonnes this year, Dodik Ariyanto, an official at the energy ministry, t ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
RUSSIA REVISES DOWN EXPORT EXPECTATION - FITCH
The Ministry of Economy of Russia, the world’s third largest thermal coal exporting country, released its annual forecasts ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDIAN COAL IMPORTS TO REMAIN SUBDUED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Rating commented on Indian Coal Imports, Fitch said, coal imports by Indian utilities fell by about 24% yoy to 44 million tonnes (mt) i ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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