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Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day personal and professional lives. All industrial markets have been influenced by the coronavirus pandemic and the tanker market is no exception. The spread of COVID-19 coupled with the IMO 2020 regulations have caused noticeable fluctuations in bunker prices and trading habits. On the 6th of January, VLSFO prices in Fujairah were as high as USD 790/mt and fell to below USD 200/mt in a mere 3-month period. WTI followed a similar pattern as it hovered at just above USD 60/barrel in early January and saw “negative” rates on the 20th of April; it has never fully rebounded (to date) back to its to pre-lockdown price levels. Oil trading houses took conservative approaches in minimizing their risk exposures owing to the mounting uncertainty and investor ambiguity that had resulted from the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Many projects were paused while trading activity was kept to a minimum.
The trading lag created an environment that allowed for contango opportunities; many traders/oil majors attempted to capitalize on this by securing VLCC/Suezmax vessels for T/C periods of up to 6 months. Due to the oil surplus in the market, shore tanks were nearing their maximum storage capacities and suppliers were keen to sell at low rates to ensure the continued and sound operations of refineries. The temporary shutdown and reopening of a refinery costs millions of dollars which places a rather hefty (almost unbearable) financial burden on the respective supplier. Throughout the period of the storage craze, some of the highest freight rates of the last decade were observed. Freights were boosted by a plethora of parameters such as market sentiment, bullish owners and prolonged wait times of ships during loading/discharging owing to the profound lack of storage.
In general - with the exception of VLCC’s who have benefited from the overall increased demand for storage - crude tankers have not managed to improve their performance in the last 3 months. Aframax and Suezmax vessels are still committed to sluggish markets which are heavily affected by seasonal patterns. Historically, summer months were always depressed in terms of trading activity. However, current imminent fears of further regional/nationwide lockdowns are further weakening sentiment in the oil trade. On the clean side, we’ve seen tonnage lists with many prompt ships around loading areas with MR’s overcoming LR1’s. At the same time, LR2’s seem to be patiently waiting for MR’s to get busier, after which they expect to receive loading enquiries from charterers. On Monday we saw WTI & BRENT enter a steep fall, which may be a direct result of further country-wide imposed COVID-19 related restrictions due to the fear of another wave. On a more positive supply-side note, Libyan exports are now back on the table and are rumored to see increases of ca. 300%!
A glimpse of light is anticipated by owners as we move towards the end of the year. It is widely hoped that traders will push to complete their programs by the close of the year to meet their minimal annual objectives. Nevertheless, the uncertain atmosphere in the tanker sector is expected to project well into the fourth quarter; a potential coronavirus vaccine is the only factor which seems capable of “straightening out” the rather mixed present sentiment.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 December 20
COAL'S PARTIAL RECOVERY IS SET TO FADE AFTER 2021 - IEA
Global coal consumption is estimated to have fallen by 7%, or over 500 million tonnes, between 2018 in 2020. A decline of this size over a two-year ...
Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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