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Wednesday, 23 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Undoubtedly, this year (ongoing) will never be forgotten because in a matter of months it has managed to severely affect and shape our day to day personal and professional lives. All industrial markets have been influenced by the coronavirus pandemic and the tanker market is no exception. The spread of COVID-19 coupled with the IMO 2020 regulations have caused noticeable fluctuations in bunker prices and trading habits. On the 6th of January, VLSFO prices in Fujairah were as high as USD 790/mt and fell to below USD 200/mt in a mere 3-month period. WTI followed a similar pattern as it hovered at just above USD 60/barrel in early January and saw “negative” rates on the 20th of April; it has never fully rebounded (to date) back to its to pre-lockdown price levels. Oil trading houses took conservative approaches in minimizing their risk exposures owing to the mounting uncertainty and investor ambiguity that had resulted from the initial COVID-19 outbreak. Many projects were paused while trading activity was kept to a minimum.
The trading lag created an environment that allowed for contango opportunities; many traders/oil majors attempted to capitalize on this by securing VLCC/Suezmax vessels for T/C periods of up to 6 months. Due to the oil surplus in the market, shore tanks were nearing their maximum storage capacities and suppliers were keen to sell at low rates to ensure the continued and sound operations of refineries. The temporary shutdown and reopening of a refinery costs millions of dollars which places a rather hefty (almost unbearable) financial burden on the respective supplier. Throughout the period of the storage craze, some of the highest freight rates of the last decade were observed. Freights were boosted by a plethora of parameters such as market sentiment, bullish owners and prolonged wait times of ships during loading/discharging owing to the profound lack of storage.
In general - with the exception of VLCC’s who have benefited from the overall increased demand for storage - crude tankers have not managed to improve their performance in the last 3 months. Aframax and Suezmax vessels are still committed to sluggish markets which are heavily affected by seasonal patterns. Historically, summer months were always depressed in terms of trading activity. However, current imminent fears of further regional/nationwide lockdowns are further weakening sentiment in the oil trade. On the clean side, we’ve seen tonnage lists with many prompt ships around loading areas with MR’s overcoming LR1’s. At the same time, LR2’s seem to be patiently waiting for MR’s to get busier, after which they expect to receive loading enquiries from charterers. On Monday we saw WTI & BRENT enter a steep fall, which may be a direct result of further country-wide imposed COVID-19 related restrictions due to the fear of another wave. On a more positive supply-side note, Libyan exports are now back on the table and are rumored to see increases of ca. 300%!
A glimpse of light is anticipated by owners as we move towards the end of the year. It is widely hoped that traders will push to complete their programs by the close of the year to meet their minimal annual objectives. Nevertheless, the uncertain atmosphere in the tanker sector is expected to project well into the fourth quarter; a potential coronavirus vaccine is the only factor which seems capable of “straightening out” the rather mixed present sentiment.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 22 December 20
INDIA'S COAL DEMAND IS SET TO EXPAND DESPITE PLUMMETING IN 2020 - IEA
Coal consumption in India amounted to 979 Mt in 2019, with the largest share being thermal coal (including lignite) for electricity generation (687 ...
Tuesday, 22 December 20
SOUTHEAST ASIA'S COAL DEMAND IS SET TO EXPAND AFTER THE PANDEMIC-INDUCED HIATUS IN 2020 - IEA
Coal consumption in Southeast Asia has more than doubled in the last decade, with the largest growth in Indonesia and Viet Nam, followed by Malaysi ...
Tuesday, 22 December 20
COAL DEMAND IS RISING QUICKLY IN PAKISTAN AND MORE SLOWLY IN BANGLADESH - IEA
Pakistan had 150 MW of installed coal power capacity in 2015. Since 2017, in addition to a few small plants for industry, Pakistan has commissioned ...
Tuesday, 22 December 20
AFRICA PERSPECTIVE INDICATES NO MAJOR SHIFTS FOR COAL CONSUMPTION - IEA
Overall countries on the African continent consumed 197 Mt of coal in 2019, 12 Mt less (-6%) than 2018.
South Africa, the continent& ...
Monday, 21 December 20
COAL PRICES WITHSTAND DESPITE COVID-19 AND CHINESE IMPORT QUOTAS - IEA
Coal prices vary by region as well as by grade and quality. The price rebound starting in 2016 ended in 2018, moving in a downward trend in 2019. A ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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