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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 December 20
CHINA TO BOOST DOMESTIC SUPPLY - FITCH
China’s benchmark Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg coal price rose above the government’s upper yellow interval of CNY600/tonne in early Octobe ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIAN COAL RECOVERING - FITCH
Commenting on Indonesian coal, Fitch Ratings, the Indonesian 4,200 kcal index has begun to recover, improving to over USD 29 in November compared t ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
NEWCASTLE PRICES RECOVER - FITCH
Prices for the benchmark Newcastle 6,000 kcal/kg grade coal have rebounded to over USD 70/tonne since late November as major Asian economies ease l ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
APAC COAL PRICES REBOUND ON IMPROVED DEMAND AND SUPPLY CUTS - FITCH RATINGS
Prices for the benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal have rebounded to over USD70/tonne since late November as major Asian economies ease loc ...
Tuesday, 15 December 20
CHINA EXTENDS FULL OPEN GESTURE TO IMPORTED COAL EXCEPT FOR AUSTRALIA - GLOBAL TIMES
Domestic, overseas suppliers will take up share with easier clearance
China's top economic planner on Saturday gave approval to ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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