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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 21 December 20
COAL'S PARTIAL RECOVERY IS SET TO FADE AFTER 2021 - IEA
Global coal consumption is estimated to have fallen by 7%, or over 500 million tonnes, between 2018 in 2020. A decline of this size over a two-year ...
Monday, 21 December 20
A REBOUND IN GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IN 2021 IS SET TO BE SHORT-LIVED, BUT NO IMMEDIATE DECLINE IN SIGHT - IEA
After a major drop in recent years, global coal demand is forecast to rise by 2.6% in 2021 before flattening out to 2025
A global ec ...
Friday, 18 December 20
AUSTRALIA PM WARNS OF ‘LOSE-LOSE’ IN ANY CHINA COAL SHIFT - REUTERS
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said any shift by China away from importing high quality Australian coal would be a “lose-lose&rdquo ...
Friday, 18 December 20
BIG OIL AND COAL EXPORTERS FACE RECKONING AS PARIS AGREEMENT TURNS FIVE - CNA
On Dec 12, more than 70 global leaders came together at the UN’s Climate Ambition Summit, marking the fifth anniversary of the Paris Agreemen ...
Friday, 18 December 20
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTERS LARGELY DEPENDENT ON THE ASIAN MARKETS - BANCHERO COSTA
South Africa is the fourth largest exporter of coal in the world, after Australia, Indonesia and Russia. In calendar 2019 the country exported a to ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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