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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 14 December 20
PHILIPPINE BANK RCBC TO STOP LENDING FOR NEW COAL-FIRED POWER PROJECTS - MANILA BULLETIN
Yuchengco-led Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation (RCBC) has forthrightly declared that it will no longer extend financing to new coal-fired power ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
LONGSTANDING DOWNSIDE RISKS TO TRADE OUTLOOK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The OECD has attempted to put a positive spin on the trade message emanating from its latest economic outlook, released last week.
The ...
Sunday, 13 December 20
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT AT 514 MILLION TONNES THIS YEAR, 2021 TARGET UNCHANGED - REUTERS
Indonesia coal output in the period to Dec. 10 stood at 514.2 million tonnes, official data from the energy ministry’s website showed.
&n ...
Thursday, 10 December 20
MALAYSIA'S CIMB ANNOUNCES COAL FINANCING PHASE-OUT BY 2040 AS ASIA'S FOSSIL FUEL DIVESTMENT DRIVE ACCELERATES - IEEFA
The first emerging markets bank to announce a progressive coal exit policy
Malaysia’s CIMB Group Holdings (CIMB) has announced ...
Wednesday, 09 December 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Heading towards the end of a difficult year and with the entire planet under the shadow of the covid-19 virus, it is interesting to proceed with a ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
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