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Friday, 08 May 20
LNG DEMAND FACED SEVERAL HEADWINDS IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2020 - GASLOG
 LNG demand faced several headwinds in the first quarter of 2020 including a warmer than average winter in the northern hemisphere, high inventory levels of natural gas and LNG in several of the largest end markets for LNG and the outbreak of COVID-19, the impact of which has had an uneven distribution around the world during the year to date. For example, Chinese demand was 15 million tonnes (“mt”) in the first quarter of 2020, a decrease of 5% over the first quarter of 2019, according to Poten, but apparent demand in April has increased year-on-year based on vessel tracking data, including several cargoes exported from the U.S., GasLog says in its latest financial report.
Gaslog further noted, meanwhile, demand from Northern Asia more broadly (Japan, China, South Korea and Taiwan) grew by approximately 1 mt in the first quarter or 3% year-over-year. In addition, demand from India grew by nearly 2 mt in the first quarter of 2020 (or 37%) as the country looked to take advantage of historically low gas prices, although apparent demand in April is likely to be lower year-on-year based on vessel tracking data. Finally, demand from Europe grew by over 4 mt (or 37%) as gas pricing favored coal-to-gas switching for power generation and LNG replaces indigenous gas production. In total, LNG demand was 98 mt in the first quarter of 2020, compared to 89 mt in the first quarter of 2019, or an increase of 10%.
Wood Mackenzie currently expects global LNG demand to grow 21 mt or 6% this year, slower than the 26 mt or 7% it anticipated earlier this year prior to the global outbreak of COVID-19. Nonetheless, the demand for LNG over the near-term continues to be uncertain as many LNG importing countries either continue to have in effect shelter-in-place orders which prevent the operation of businesses deemed to be “non-essential” or are in the early stages of reopening their economies. Consequently, measures of global economic activity have declined significantly from comparable periods in 2019. However, the longer-term outlook for LNG demand remains favorable with demand growth of 92 mt estimated over the 2019-2025 timeframe, or compound annual growth of approximately 4%, according to Wood Mackenzie.
According to GasLog's latest financial report, global LNG supply was approximately 98 mt in the first quarter of 2020, an increase of 10 mt over the first quarter of 2019 (or 11%), primarily due to new supply additions in the U.S. (Cameron T1 and T2, Freeport T1, T2 and T3 and Elba Island), according to estimates from Wood Mackenzie. LNG supply is estimated to grow by 22 mt this year as the third train of Cameron begins operations and recent capacity additions continue to increase production. Further ahead, approximately 97 mt of new LNG capacity is expected to begin production during 2021-2025. However, Wood Mackenzie expects the pace of new project sanctions to slow significantly in 2020 due to the uncertainties caused by the COVID-19 outbreak in long-term demand for LNG and low global energy prices, in particular crude oil prices due to oversupply following a collapse in oil demand due to the COVID-19 virus.
In the LNG shipping spot market, tri-fuel diesel electric vessel (“TFDE”) headline rates, as reported by Clarksons, averaged $57,000 per day in the first quarter of 2020, a decrease from the averages of $108,000 in the fourth quarter of 2019 and $59,500 in the first quarter of 2019. Headline spot rates for steam turbine propulsion (“Steam”) vessels averaged $40,000 per day in the first quarter of 2020, a decrease from the average of $78,000 per day in the fourth quarter of 2019 but approximately in line with the $39,000 per day observed in the first quarter of 2019. Slower than expected LNG demand growth due in part to the impact of COVID-19 (as detailed above), high global inventories of natural gas and LNG following a warmer than average winter in the Northern Hemisphere and limited opportunities for LNG arbitrage trading between Atlantic and Pacific basins impacted headline spot rates in the first quarter of 2020.
Clarksons currently assesses headline spot rates for TFDE and Steam LNG carriers at $32,500 per day and $23,000 per day, respectively. The COVID-19 outbreak has introduced significant uncertainty regarding demand for LNG, and consequently, demand for LNG shipping over the near term. The combined impact of the COVID-19 outbreak and normal seasonality may lead to greater volatility in spot rates and to lower utilization of vessels trading in the spot and short-term markets, in particular Steam vessels. In addition, global gas prices and gas price differentials remain near historic lows in the key markets of North Asia and Europe, limiting the opportunities for inter-basin arbitrage trading and likely reducing average voyage distances as well as potentially reducing global output of LNG over the near-term, particularly in the U.S., where a number of cargo deferrals and/or cancellations have been reported for this summer, said GasLog.
As of May 5, 2020, the orderbook totals 118 dedicated LNG carriers (>100,000 cbm), according to estimates from Poten, representing 22% of the on-the-water fleet. Of these, 74 vessels (or 63%) have multi-year charters. The pace of newbuild ordering has slowed significantly relative to 2018-19, with only 4 newbuildings ordered so far in 2020 and all of them ordered against multi-year contracts, an encouraging development for the future supply and demand balance of LNG carriers.
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Friday, 24 July 20
IPA: THERMAL COAL IMPORTS AT MAJOR PORTS DECLINE 35 PC TO 17.71 MT IN APR TO JUNE - ECONOMIC TIMES
These ports had handled 27.13 MT of thermal coal and 14.95 MT of coking coal in the April-June period of the previous financial year
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Thursday, 23 July 20
KOREAN GENCOS INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 1.36 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR OCTOBER 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 1,360,00 ...
Wednesday, 22 July 20
CIL'S COAL SUPPLY TO POWER SECTOR DROPS OVER 21% TO 93.5 MT IN APR-JUN QUARTER - PTI
The supply of coal by state-owned Coal India Ltd to the power sector fell 21.7 percent to 93.5 million tonnes (MT) in the first quarter of the ongo ...
Monday, 20 July 20
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 2.520 MILLION MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO), has issued an international tender for total 840,000 of Bituminous Coal to be used at Bo ...
Monday, 20 July 20
CHINA'S JUNE COAL OUTPUT FALLS 1.2% YEAR-ON-YEAR OVER ILLEGAL MINING CHECKS - REUTERS
China’s coal output dropped 1.2% in June on the year to 330 million tonnes, official data showed, as major coal mining areas cracked down on ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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