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Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Impact on power and coal demand
Principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “India’s power demand has declined on average 30% year-on-year (yoy) and 25% week-on-week basis on 28 March. Demand from the industrial and commercial sectors are already falling. Load shape is moving to residential from industrial due to teleworking and home-schooling. We expect an average overall power demand decline of 35% until 14 April and a progressive recovery thereafter.
“Coal stocks at power plants and mines reached record highs of 40 million tonnes (Mt) and 60 Mt by 25 March, and many are already rejecting shipments from Coal India. This situation is due to lower thermal coal demand over the last 15 days and robust production in recent months.
“Movement of imported coal will be restricted due to constraints at ports and infrastructure. We expect the Force Majeure announced by port operators to have a limited impact on coal imports, as it is considered an ‘essential’ service.”
Impact on gas and LNG
Senior analyst Vidur Singhal said: “The transport and industrial sectors have been impacted. The average daily gas consumption across sectors stood at around 151 mmcm/d (million cubic metres per day) in 2019. We expect about 18-20% reduction in daily gas demand post lockdown. Also, demand from refineries and fertiliser plants, and anchor gas customers, have reduced in line with their utilisation rates with significant downside risk if the lockdown is extended.
“Gas aggregators are in a tight spot. LNG buyers declared Force Majeure once port operations stopped. Regas terminals were oversupplied heading into the lockdown as all major buyers procured low-priced spot volumes in advance. Even long-term LNG volumes are at risk as demand shrinks.”
Impact on oil products demand and refining
Research analyst Qiaoling Chen said: “We estimate that gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel demand will be down by 25%, 33%, and 13% yoy respectively in the second quarter while fuel oil, refinery gas demand will decline by 8%, 20% respectively at the same time.
“Overall, total demand is expected to decline by 871,000 barrels per day (b/d) (-17%) yoy in April. The negative impact is likely to last through Q2 2020 with most oil products returning to normal growth in the third quarter of this year except for jet fuel demand, which is expected to return to normal growth only in the first quarter of next year.”
On refining, research analyst Kendrick Ng said: “Refiners are reducing runs in response to lower oil products demand and weakness in refining margins. We estimate that the country will process about 800,000 b/d less crude in April, month-on-month basis, resulting in about 17% decline in the utilisation rate.
“Indian PSUs (public sector undertaking) are expected to be hurt the most amid tepid domestic demand, high storage level and lesser access to export markets, especially inland refineries.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Monday, 24 December 18
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET ON BACKFOOT AS 2018'S END DRAWS NEAR - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Panic set in in the East as the holiday season approaches, with owners chasing rates lower. Rates on the key West Australia/China route ...
Friday, 21 December 18
4.2 MILLION DWT OF DRY BULK SHIPS SCRAPPED UNTIL 17 DEC, DOWN 71.6% Y/Y - BIMCO
2018 has been a slow year for dry bulk demolitions, with only 4.2 million DWT scrapped (as of 17 December), down 71.6% compared to last year. An al ...
Thursday, 20 December 18
INDONESIAN COAL PRICES DIVERGE FROM KEY BENCHMARK - FITCH RATINGS
The Newcastle 6,000kcal coal price benchmark that is widely used to determine most coal price estimates for Indonesian coal miners has increasingly ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
CHINA'S IMPORT RESTRICTIONS ON COAL SPOILS THE PARTY FOR PANAMAXES - DREWRY
The Chinese government’s objective of suppressing coal and lignite imports in November and December 2018 is adversely impacting demand for Pa ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND SET TO REMAIN STABLE THROUGH 2023, DESPITE HEADWINDS - IEA
While global coal demand looks set to rise for the second year in a row in 2018, it is forecast to remain stable over the next five years, as decli ...
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Showing 1516 to 1520 news of total 6871 |
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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