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Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
 China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain tight in cities such as Beijing and Shanghai – China’s busiest points of entry – economic activity is resuming in lower-risk regions.
Market sentiment for steel is optimistic, with production picking up and inventory finally running down. However, the coal market remains gloomy with weak market fundamentals, bringing both thermal and metallurgical coal prices down.
In this article, analysts Nuomin Han, Zhai Yu, Simon Wu, Zhilu Wang and Ti Guo bring you an update from across China’s bulks sector.
Coal supply: import disruptions continue
Domestic coal supply has already returned to normal, but disruptions remain on the import side. Mongolian coal supply took another twist when border crossings didn’t reopen as scheduled on 16 March – precautionary measures were not well prepared amid confirmation of further coronavirus cases in Mongolia. The reopening of border crossings is now rescheduled for 1 April.
Thermal coal: weak demand adds to an unfavourable outlook
The Qinhuangdao 5,500 price has slid further in the past week, due to weak demand. Daily coal consumption by the six largest gencos in the coastal region remains at 80% of last year’s level. In addition, heating supply in many provinces has ended. The National Bureau of Statistics issued its macroeconomic indicators for the first two months of the year: the slump in figures and the global spread of coronavirus suggest an unfavourable outlook for the coal market.
With no change in the fundamentals, we expect the Qinhuangdao price to keep falling this week.
Metallurgical coal: price pressure won’t ease quickly
While finished steel stockpiles have started to fall, they remain at high levels. As such, coke prices were cut for a fourth time by RMB50/t, despite resistance from coke makers. Some coking plants in northwest China have reported losses after prices have quickly declined by RMB200/t in recent weeks.
Stagnant coke demand has enhanced the fall in coking coal prices in Shanxi, with Liulin #4 dropping RMB70/t in the week and Anze low-sulphur premium HCC falling by RMB110/t.
The price arbitrage between domestic and imported coking coal has narrowed under the weak demand picture, further eroding the price advantage of imported coking coal and ramping up pressure on prices.
We expect downstream industries to continue to recover in the coming weeks, helping steel demand to pick up. However, the pressure on coking coal prices is unlikely to be relieved quickly, as the destocking of steel will take some time. As such, prices will remain weak for a short while.
Steel and iron ore: as downstream operations resumed, inventory started to fall
Just as the market expected, finished steel inventory started to fall as more stable downstream operations resumed. Steel production is also picking up, as more electric arc furnace steelmakers resume operations on improved margin conditions. Rebar spot and futures are particularly firm among other commodities that have been freefalling amid the global financial shock.
Market sentiment shows strong confidence in China’s property sector and the government’s efforts to leverage the economy through infrastructure. Most Chinese-made rebar is consumed domestically. However, oversupply remains a risk – apart from the high finished steel inventory, we shouldn’t forget semi-finished, which isn’t included in the inventory statistics. Official data shows production of crude steel grew 3.1% year-on-year in January and February, but finished steel production dropped 3.4%.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 13 March 20
TOP 4 ACCOUNTING CONSIDERATIONS AFTER THE IMPLEMENTATION OF IMO 2020 - PWC
To install or not to install?
Following the IMO 2020 global low sulphur cap for marine fuel effective since 1 January 2020, many shi ...
Friday, 13 March 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
Friday, 13 March 20
KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER INVITED BIDS FOR 390,000 MT OF THERMAL COAL FOR MAY-JUNE 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOEN), has issued an international tender for total 390,000 Metric Tons of coal for May & June ...
Thursday, 12 March 20
INDIA 2019 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS RISE 12.6% TO NEARLY 200 MILLION TONNES - REUTERS
India’s thermal coal imports rose 12.6% to nearly 200 million tonnes in 2019, government data reviewed by Reuters showed, reflecting the seco ...
Wednesday, 11 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.07 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points Monday, up 0.07 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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