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Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
 China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain tight in cities such as Beijing and Shanghai – China’s busiest points of entry – economic activity is resuming in lower-risk regions.
Market sentiment for steel is optimistic, with production picking up and inventory finally running down. However, the coal market remains gloomy with weak market fundamentals, bringing both thermal and metallurgical coal prices down.
In this article, analysts Nuomin Han, Zhai Yu, Simon Wu, Zhilu Wang and Ti Guo bring you an update from across China’s bulks sector.
Coal supply: import disruptions continue
Domestic coal supply has already returned to normal, but disruptions remain on the import side. Mongolian coal supply took another twist when border crossings didn’t reopen as scheduled on 16 March – precautionary measures were not well prepared amid confirmation of further coronavirus cases in Mongolia. The reopening of border crossings is now rescheduled for 1 April.
Thermal coal: weak demand adds to an unfavourable outlook
The Qinhuangdao 5,500 price has slid further in the past week, due to weak demand. Daily coal consumption by the six largest gencos in the coastal region remains at 80% of last year’s level. In addition, heating supply in many provinces has ended. The National Bureau of Statistics issued its macroeconomic indicators for the first two months of the year: the slump in figures and the global spread of coronavirus suggest an unfavourable outlook for the coal market.
With no change in the fundamentals, we expect the Qinhuangdao price to keep falling this week.
Metallurgical coal: price pressure won’t ease quickly
While finished steel stockpiles have started to fall, they remain at high levels. As such, coke prices were cut for a fourth time by RMB50/t, despite resistance from coke makers. Some coking plants in northwest China have reported losses after prices have quickly declined by RMB200/t in recent weeks.
Stagnant coke demand has enhanced the fall in coking coal prices in Shanxi, with Liulin #4 dropping RMB70/t in the week and Anze low-sulphur premium HCC falling by RMB110/t.
The price arbitrage between domestic and imported coking coal has narrowed under the weak demand picture, further eroding the price advantage of imported coking coal and ramping up pressure on prices.
We expect downstream industries to continue to recover in the coming weeks, helping steel demand to pick up. However, the pressure on coking coal prices is unlikely to be relieved quickly, as the destocking of steel will take some time. As such, prices will remain weak for a short while.
Steel and iron ore: as downstream operations resumed, inventory started to fall
Just as the market expected, finished steel inventory started to fall as more stable downstream operations resumed. Steel production is also picking up, as more electric arc furnace steelmakers resume operations on improved margin conditions. Rebar spot and futures are particularly firm among other commodities that have been freefalling amid the global financial shock.
Market sentiment shows strong confidence in China’s property sector and the government’s efforts to leverage the economy through infrastructure. Most Chinese-made rebar is consumed domestically. However, oversupply remains a risk – apart from the high finished steel inventory, we shouldn’t forget semi-finished, which isn’t included in the inventory statistics. Official data shows production of crude steel grew 3.1% year-on-year in January and February, but finished steel production dropped 3.4%.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 24 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.28 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 132.74 points Monday, down 0.28 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Monday, 23 March 20
CHARTERPARTY REQUIREMENTS TO NOTIFY CLAIMS - TAKE CARE! - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Voyage charterparties frequently require the owner to notify any claim with supporting documents within a relatively shor ...
Monday, 23 March 20
COAL INDIA LIMITED'S ONE-DAY OUTPUT PEAKS AT 3.17 MT - THE HINDU
Coal India Limited (CIL) output peaked at a new high of 3.17 million tonnes (MT) on March 20, overtaking the 3.14 MT production recorded on March 2 ...
Monday, 23 March 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.45 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR JUNE & JULY 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co.,Ltd (KOMIPO), on behalf of five Korean Gencos, has issued an international tender for total 1,450,000 MT (&pl ...
Saturday, 21 March 20
PANAMAX: 82,000DWT SHIP AGREED $4,250 FOR A COAL TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market made some headway this past week despite being buffeted by the global pandemic storm. With the market in a constan ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The University of Queensland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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