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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GERRY LATHROP
With the almost complete phase out of Tier II new-building slots on our door step, along with the plethora of emissions related articles seemingly ...
Friday, 23 March 18
RIO TINTO AGREES SALE OF HAIL CREEK AND VALERIA TO GLENCORE FOR $1.7 BILLION
Press Release: Rio Tinto has entered into a binding agreement with Glencore for the sale of its entire interests in the Hail Creek coal mine and th ...
Wednesday, 21 March 18
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT UP IN 2017, FIRST GROWTH SINCE 2014 - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose in 2017 due to rebounding demand and high-quality capacity, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 21 March 18
MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
President’s Trump administration proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports in an attempt to target China and Europe among others. Earlie ...
Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of se ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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