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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 05 April 18
INDONESIA TO POSTPONE NEW COAL, PALM OIL SHIPPING RULES TO 2020 - REUTERS
Indonesia will delay until 2020 trade rules requiring exporters of coal and crude palm oil to use only Indonesian-flagged vessels, government offic ...
Tuesday, 03 April 18
MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
In the midst of a relatively quiet week for markets, with disruptions being caused by the Christian holidays, it seems as though we find ourselves ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT, SAYS VISTAAR
The freight market softening to continue. Thursday, March 29, 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 42 points, reaching 1080 points.
T ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS TO DELIVER $150M SENAKIN CONTRACT EXTENSION
Thiess has secured a $150 million contract extension to provide mine services at Arutmin’s Senakin coal mine in South Kalimantan, Indonesia.
...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS SECURES $240M SATUI EXTENSION
The successful implementation of an innovative mining plan by Thiess at the Satui coal mine in South Kalimantan, has resulted in a $240 million con ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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