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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 March 18
SHIPPING INDUSTRY CONFIDENCE HITS FOUR-YEAR HIGH - MOORE STEPHENS
Shipping Confidence Survey
In February 2018, the average confidence level expressed by respondents was up from 6.2 in November 2017 t ...
Friday, 30 March 18
EXPLAINING POLAND'S COAL PARADOX - FORBES
In the U.S. coal is succumbing to market forces despite the Trump Administration’s push to support the industry. Abundant, cheap and cleaner ...
Friday, 30 March 18
THIESS SECURES $140M MT OWEN INCREASE
Thiess has secured a A$140 million increase to its contract with Glencore for coal mining services at Mt Owen in the Hunter Valley, Australia. Mt O ...
Wednesday, 28 March 18
THIESS WINS $280M WAHANA EXTENSION
Thiess has been awarded a three-year $280 million contract extension at the Wahana coal mine in South Kalimantan, Indonesia.
According to Thie ...
Wednesday, 28 March 18
RIO TINTO TO SELL KESTREL MINE FOR $2.25 BILLION - REUTERS
Rio Tinto sold its remaining coal asset Kestrel in Australia to private equity manager EMR Capital and Indonesia’s Adaro Energy Tbk for $2.25 ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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