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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 30 November 18
GOVT MULLS REQUIRING MINERS TO TURN COAL INTO GAS - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is considering requiring all coal miners to turn the raw commodity into dimethylether (DME) as a substitute for liquefied petroleum ...
Friday, 30 November 18
SUPRAMAX: N. CHINA TO INDIA OR SE ASIA SUPRAS ARE GETTING PAID AROUND US$ 6000 - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Sharp rise in spot activity and income, admittedly from very low levels, for the big ships. West Australia/China and Brazil/Far East b ...
Thursday, 29 November 18
NEW IMSBC CODE REQUIREMENTS AIM TO CONTROL LIQUEFACTION OF COAL CARGOES - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes (IMSBC) Code describes coal as a natural, solid, combustible material consi ...
Wednesday, 28 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAIOS
Last week I had the privilege to attend the SingularityU Greece Summit, in Athens. It was a privilege because you do not often have the chance to s ...
Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state o ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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