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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
CHINA REVISES MANAGEMENT RULES ON ESTABLISHMENT OF FULLY FOREIGN-OWNED SHIPPING BUSINESSES - XINHUA
Foreign shipping companies will find it easier to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China thanks to a revised regulation due to take effect on ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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