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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 05 December 18
WORLD COAL PRICES FALL, WITH INDONESIA BENCHMARK FOR DECEMBER, ENDING AT LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 05 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Is the rise in crude carrier rates driven only by seasonality, or is the recent positive reversal signaling the end of challenging days for the mar ...
Monday, 03 December 18
WCA'S ENGAGEMENT AT COP24 IN KATOWICE - WCA
The 24th Conference of the Parties (COP) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) will take place from the 2-14 December 2018 in K ...
Monday, 03 December 18
SUPRAMAX: FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN TO WEST COAST INDIA, AT $11000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A roller-coaster week for the big ships with hopes soaring at the start for a mini last quarter revival, only to be dashed as the week ...
Sunday, 02 December 18
TRADE WAR LEADING TO HEADWINDS FOR THE FRAGILE DRY BULK RECOVERY - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The first twelve weeks of the 2018/19 marketing year, which started on 1 September 2018, have painted a dire picture for US soya bean exports which ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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