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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As it was expected, the whole world has been focusing on the spread of the Coronavirus, with the fast outbreak being primarily a massive humanitari ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: A WILDCARD FOR BULKS DEMAND - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus is casting a shadow across commodity markets. It has undermined China’s economic sentiment, putting the country’s growt ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
THERMAL COAL TO 'PHASE OUT', STRONG DEMAND FOR COKING COAL: PLATO - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Plato Investments managing director Don Hamson says Australian iron ore producers are set to benefit in the fallout from coronavirus as China will ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CHINA PROVINCE TO CLOSE 10 MLN TONNES OF COAL CAPACITY IN 2020 - XINHUA
Southwest China’s Guizhou Province plans to phase out 10 million tonnes of outdated coal production capacity by closing 80 coal mines in 2020 ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
UKRAINE PRODUCED OVER 2.55 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN FEBRUARY - UKRINFORM
In February 2020, Ukraine produced over 2.55 million tonnes of coal, which is 0.2% less than planned.
The Coal Miners Union of Ukrai ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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