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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As it was expected, the whole world has been focusing on the spread of the Coronavirus, with the fast outbreak being primarily a massive humanitari ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: A WILDCARD FOR BULKS DEMAND - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus is casting a shadow across commodity markets. It has undermined China’s economic sentiment, putting the country’s growt ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
THERMAL COAL TO 'PHASE OUT', STRONG DEMAND FOR COKING COAL: PLATO - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Plato Investments managing director Don Hamson says Australian iron ore producers are set to benefit in the fallout from coronavirus as China will ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
CHINA PROVINCE TO CLOSE 10 MLN TONNES OF COAL CAPACITY IN 2020 - XINHUA
Southwest China’s Guizhou Province plans to phase out 10 million tonnes of outdated coal production capacity by closing 80 coal mines in 2020 ...
Wednesday, 04 March 20
UKRAINE PRODUCED OVER 2.55 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN FEBRUARY - UKRINFORM
In February 2020, Ukraine produced over 2.55 million tonnes of coal, which is 0.2% less than planned.
The Coal Miners Union of Ukrai ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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